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  • Feds Lockhart. September could be appropriate for liftoff

    From forexlive.com

    Nothing new from Feds Lockhart • "Significant deterioration" in data would cause him to delay a rate rise. The comments have led to a reversal in the GBPUSD (see chart below) The EURUSD is also trading toward the days lows (extending the NY range). The low for the day comes in at 1.0931. The low print on this move....1.0936

September witch year?
fck head why cant people just keep their big gobs shut - does it make em feel good do they have a trade on the pound dollar before - stupid fcking people running a country thats long been bankrupt.
2015
Geez! Look at the Dollar!! Hmmmm .... hopping my TP is triggered
Quoting Algorerythmn
fck head why cant people just keep their big gobs shut - does it make em feel good do they have a trade on the pound dollar before - stupid fcking people running a country thats long been bankrupt.
seems to me like you were on the opposite side of that move...
Fed still will be printing to service the massive debt long after 0.50% rate......
Quoting keymoney
seems to me like you were on the opposite side of that move...
No sorry was not don't trade untill after NFP a rule I always adhere too.
Quoting Algorerythmn
No sorry was not don't trade untill after NFP a rule I always adhere too.
I also minimize my activity during the first week of the month. Too much emphasis on the noise makers.
I lockhart usually dovish?
If so this is significant.
My only hope is a huge reversal
clasgolf
Quoting SuicideStu
I lockhart usually dovish?
If so this is significant.
Mr. Lockhart is watched closely in financial markets because he tends to be a centrist among Fed officials who moves with the central bank’s consensus, unlike those who stake out harder positions for or against changing interest rates. His comments are among the clearest signals yet that Fed officials are seriously considering a rate increase in September.
thats from wsj
Quoting xau
September witch year?
2020
Quoting clasgolf
My only hope is a huge reversal
now???? where other people are taking profit and maybe go for a short time long euro/usd. look at the gold and dows ... it tell me that it is nothing at all.

September is still a month time and rate hike was talking every month
Zen Quote:

Never underestimate the power of a fart in thin markets
Quoting SuicideStu
I lockhart usually dovish?
If so this is significant.
Yes you are right. We could see a Massive Dollar move this hot Friday if everything goes cool. And remember Fed mentioned Wage is not a fact anymore! So, Focus on Job data.
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false breakout on eurusd in thin trade. go long now s/l 1.0869, tp 1.0975 or more.
Lets see what happens if eu starts to raise their interest rates again
Early to bed, early to rise, keeps you healthy, wealthy and wise.
Quoting Dr.Zain
2020
Even if rumor spread Fed will hike rate in 2050 dollar will boost because of MF still in follar bull side without expecting any decent retracement
You cannot learn better without losing
By increasing dollar value Federal just pumping their debt bubble which is short term solution for economy. They are playing a dangerous game. Balloon gets burst when it exceed the maximum air pressure within it.
I think they are planning another world war. May be against China. If so, US will welcome its own worst fate. Both China and US will be messed along with some other countries.
You cannot learn better without losing
These guys will just talk and cause unexpected volatility. Why not key your speech into the economic calendar so we can be on the watch
Quoting xau
September witch year?
September 2022 possible
Quoting forexings
Even if rumor spread Fed will hike rate in 2050 dollar will boost because of MF still in follar bull side without expecting any decent retracement
it will be Wiped out us dollar in 2050 that year belong to yuan the next important currency
Quoting xau
Mr. Lockhart is watched closely in financial markets because he tends to be a centrist among Fed officials who moves with the central bank’s consensus, unlike those who stake out harder positions for or against changing interest rates. His comments are among the clearest signals yet that Fed officials are seriously considering a rate increase in September.
thats from wsj
Interesting Information, thanks !
Whatever will be the data FED will increase rate in 2015. They committed and communicated it so they won't want to be seen as unconsistent to World and harm their trustable CB position. So long dollar is the best until 2016.
Quoting Luther
You have it backwards. They need to deflate the equities bubble which is more dangerous right now.

Because valuations are so much higher than earnings they need corporations to stop the stock buy backs. Corporations have generated dividends based on this method taking advantage of low rates. During this time they also cut R&D and other budget expenses that generate real growth.

With rate rise on the table you can already see the policy shift happening inside the corporations, with buy backs decreasing and necessary expenses increasing to...
Maybe, I don't know what the Fed really thinks. I think it goes 2 ways. Either they are super smart and they are keeping rates lower for longer and then hiking for their own agenda and just fooling everyone with their fake figures. Or they are dumb, they really do believe their dodgy gdp and unemployment figures and think the economy is naturally expanding and so it can handle the rate hikes. I really have no idea.

They have 18 trillion in gov debt and are paying 2.5-3% interest per year equaling .5 trillion/year about. If they raise rates to 2ish% the interest they pay through bonds would likely go to near 5% which is close to 1 trillion per year in interest. The government takes about 3 trillion in tax revenue (2014) and so 1 trillion in interest payments would be a third of gov tax rev. How can they be sailing the ship into this storm? A 3rd of government money would just be going to interest payments! This is crazy. I'm just sitting back with my popcorn watching this one..

The only thing I know 100% is that when the next crisis happens in a year or 2, they will drop rates back to 0 and start QE4 bigger than QE3. At this time, short the usd, buy gold..
This is complete bull****t that they will rise rates. And I can't understand why the hell FEDs are talking the dollar up, it's still a mystery to me. But there are probably some reasons, that we don't want to know
Quoting Luther
You have it backwards. They need to deflate the equities bubble which is more dangerous right now.

Because valuations are so much higher than earnings they need corporations to stop the stock buy backs. Corporations have generated dividends based on this method taking advantage of low rates. During this time they also cut R&D and other budget expenses that generate real growth.

With rate rise on the table you can already see the policy shift happening inside the corporations, with buy backs decreasing and necessary expenses increasing to...
Blah blah blah....
Lockhart chosen exactly the right time to make a fuss out of blue. Yet you want to say dollar bull is just side effect?
You cannot learn better without losing
Rate will rise no later than 2017
Gold $ 300
Its data dependent Lockhart... i'm not surprised if Yellen remain dovish till deemed appropriate.
Better ways to deal with inflation threats than the interest rates. Lower the ratio of stock that can be traded on margin. Make new personnel credit more expensive. That only went down for a few months after the housing bubble burst in 08. People are just as addicted to spending more than they have as governments are. Actions do not have to be directly by the Fed.
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  • Story Stats
  • Posted: Aug 4, 2015 1:26pm
  • Submitted by:
     Newsstand
    Category: High Impact Breaking News
    Comments: 30  /  Views: 12,294