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Why investors should be betting on a strong euro
The euro's decline following the hint dropped by the European Central Bank (ECB) last Thursday that it may ease its policy stance early next month is a trading event with little, if any, message for investors in euro-denominated assets. There are two major reasons for that. First, the ECB has no effective policy instruments to weaken the euro/dollar exchange rate in a credible and sustained fashion. All they can do is: (a) try to talk the euro down by saying, as they did last week, that fundamentals don't warrant the currency's appreciation, (b) drive money market rates to zero from 0.25 percent, and (c) engage in ... (full story)
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