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  • This is no recovery, this is a bubble – and it will burst

    From theguardian.com

    According to the stock market, the UK economy is in a boom. Not just any old boom, but a historic one. On 28 October 2013, the FTSE 100 index hit 6,734, breaching the level achieved at the height of the economic boom before the 2008 global financial crisis (that was 6,730, recorded in October 2007). Since then, it has had ups and downs, but on 21 February 2014 the FTSE 100 climbed to a new height of 6,838. At this rate, it may soon surpass the highest ever level reached since the index began in 1984 – that was 6,930, recorded in December 1999, during the heady days of the dotcom bubble. The current levels of share ... (full story)

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  • Post #1
  • Quote
  • Feb 24, 2014 4:33pm Feb 24, 2014 4:33pm
  •  PaulAmbrose
  • | Joined Sep 2010 | Status: Member | 261 Comments
Safe haven USD
  • Post #2
  • Quote
  • Feb 24, 2014 4:48pm Feb 24, 2014 4:48pm
  •  ozboy
  • | Joined Mar 2012 | Status: Member | 45 Comments
buy GOLD now before too late
  • Post #3
  • Quote
  • Feb 24, 2014 5:40pm Feb 24, 2014 5:40pm
  •  TheTopBloke
  • | Joined Sep 2007 | Status: Forex God | 1,035 Comments
Quoting PaulAmbrose
Disliked
Safe haven USD
Ignored
ROFLMAO!
  • Post #4
  • Quote
  • Feb 24, 2014 6:07pm Feb 24, 2014 6:07pm
  •  Guest
  • | IP XXX.XXX.54.156
RUBBISH article...everytime markets reach all time high people talk about bubbles till it makes news highs and newer highs...world is in much better state than it was before....Europe is getting better everyday but the results (in numbers) is always the lagging indicator...for some reason world thinks numbers come before change in underline but we know that's not true....Chinese markets have more or less priced in issues there which is a good thing so there are no unknowns but only knowns....as per article FTSE has done nothing for the last 15 years that means it has been consolidating and now ready to move to greater heights.....I am not saying today or tomorrow but in years to come....India is on a verge of breakout and it should be the best performing market of the world in 2014...Short AUD trade seems not so convincing now....having said the above I have reduced my equity positions by 50% and booked profits to some extent and moved to fixed income....just doing that I reduced stress by 50% and it feels great...so now I don't care what the world does as I just have 50% in global equities and would be happy with whatever returns I get or not....In short I feel there is 50% chance of correction globally and the real money will be made in India (post elections)...oh and for the Short AUD lovers the max return I see in that trade is 5-10%...but the reverse would be 5% tops....so short aud still looks good but well its not worth the risk...even though unemployment will climb to 7% this year and china u know( who knows anyways....lol)
  • Post #5
  • Quote
  • Feb 24, 2014 8:40pm Feb 24, 2014 8:40pm
  •  Geges
  • | Joined Dec 2009 | Status: Member | 4 Comments
Perpetuity...There is no alternative
  • Post #6
  • Quote
  • Feb 24, 2014 9:52pm Feb 24, 2014 9:52pm
  •  Guest
  • | IP XX.XX.128.84
"This time around, no one is offering a new narrative justifying the new bubbles because, well, there isn't any plausible story". How about with interest rates at or near zero in UK, US, EURO and Japan there is not much alternative for investors to get yield or capital growth except with equities?

Anyway I hope the author is correct about a bubble, and my strategy would be to short the hell out of the stock indexes.
  • Post #7
  • Quote
  • Feb 24, 2014 10:49pm Feb 24, 2014 10:49pm
  •  simply.monty
  • | Joined Mar 2012 | Status: Member | 249 Comments
and the ultimate result is only buy gbpusd
  • Post #8
  • Quote
  • Feb 24, 2014 11:48pm Feb 24, 2014 11:48pm
  •  frx_trader
  • Joined Jun 2012 | Status: Analyst | 3,129 Comments
Nonetheless, QE and Abenomics have sustained current growth. It's just a question when these will end and to what consequences.
  • Post #9
  • Quote
  • Feb 25, 2014 1:36am Feb 25, 2014 1:36am
  •  fourexcellence
  • | Joined Jun 2006 | Status: Member | 7 Comments
The Guardian…leftist socialist rag…always pushing the agenda.
  • Post #10
  • Quote
  • Feb 25, 2014 1:37am Feb 25, 2014 1:37am
  •  giveachance
  • Joined Jun 2013 | Status: Ban the idiot nessus94 | 156 Comments
Quoting Guest
Disliked
RUBBISH article...everytime markets reach all time high people talk about bubbles till it makes news highs and newer highs...world is in much better state than it was before....Europe is getting better everyday but the results (in numbers) is always the lagging indicator...for some reason world thinks numbers come before change in underline but we know that's not true....Chinese markets have more or less priced in issues there which is a good thing so there are no unknowns but only knowns....as per article FTSE has done nothing for the last 15 years...
Ignored
ya world is better because like one of the senator said we are going to QE infinity
  • Post #11
  • Quote
  • Feb 25, 2014 2:43am Feb 25, 2014 2:43am
  •  cat
  • Joined Oct 2010 | Status: Member | 445 Comments
The Dow Jones is stuttering having hit a long term trend line anchored form the year 2000, and the FTSE is just shy of the all time high set in Dec 1999. One can expect a reaction off this level, though it is looking so strong it may just punch straight through it. However, the technical picture is far stronger now for both New York and London and so a repeat of 2000 and 2008 is extremely unlikely. A pullback of some percentage points maybe, but not a full scale sell off. We will go higher, though we may have to come off the current highs first.
  • Post #12
  • Quote
  • Feb 25, 2014 3:33am Feb 25, 2014 3:33am
  •  Guest
  • | IP XXX.XX.171.227
no one can predict. market being extremely overbought would be an understatement though. some of the tech valuations are back to 1999.
  • Post #13
  • Quote
  • Feb 25, 2014 9:22am Feb 25, 2014 9:22am
  •  traderathome
  • Joined Mar 2008 | Status: PVSRA with Traderathome | 990 Comments
The stock markets are the most highly manipulated markets there are. And those "big money" outfits hardly ever lose because they are the ones that create the upwards price moves; pressure for moves up, and support to hold them up. And when they are all finished closing their longs and building their short positions, then the bubble will be made to burst.

This has been the workings of "big money" in the stock market since the last turn of the century, over a hundred years ago when the syndicates ran things. Now it is the huge bank/investment houses, but their methods have never changed, neither has their profitable status. They are now bigger, more powerful and more wealthy than ever before due to their methods. The stock markets are now international, but remain their "private" casinos.
  • Post #14
  • Quote
  • Feb 25, 2014 9:25am Feb 25, 2014 9:25am
  •  Guest
  • | IP XXX.XXX.17.201
Quoting giveachance
Disliked
ya world is better because like one of the senator said we are going to QE infinity
Ignored
if u read my full msg I m negative at this point... correction isdue....but a normal correction 20-30%....the reasons given for a bubble is rubbish...but the end result may be same....as qe reduces gradually stockprices will go down gradually....oncemarket has priced in we willsee a rally...forsomereason if markets continue to rally from hereon then bubble theoryis correct.... next few months of taperingareimp....
  • Post #15
  • Quote
  • Feb 25, 2014 10:04am Feb 25, 2014 10:04am
  •  Guest
  • | IP XX.XX.146.162
left wing journo got it right today ... maybe the next Hilsenrath?
  •  Guest
  • | IP X.XXX.7.202
Join FF
  • Story Stats
  • Posted: Feb 24, 2014 3:54pm
  • Submitted by:
     Newsstand
    Category: Fundamental Analysis
    Comments: 15  /  Views: 4,837
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