Inflation is moving in the wrong direction for the Fed | Forex Factory

  • Inflation is moving in the wrong direction for the Fed

    From rbc.com

    The April CPI report does little to relieve the concern that inflation is under control. Headline inflation rose 0.6% m/m as energy prices continued to climb. And core inflation jumped to 0.4% m/m, driven by housing. Yes, the spike in housing was mechanical, resulting from the government shutdown. But stripping out shelter from core services, we still see sticky inflation that showed signs of continued acceleration. The sticky inflation issue is not just a tariff and energy story – those pressures will make it more challenging to get inflation back to 2.0%. The more immediate problem is how consumers deal with ... (full story)

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CycleGF
May 13, 2026 12:11am
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Stock markets are on life support... The Fed rate increase will crash the markets and the Gold
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HarpexMars
May 13, 2026 1:06am
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And so it looks in the charts, an inevitable long downtrend is coming sometime soon.
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rama.vellala
May 13, 2026 1:26am
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If fed rate increae gold will move up side correct?
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Luxyus
May 13, 2026 1:32am
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It can be unecessary becouse from a macro and technical analysis perspective, there is already room for a correction, supported by several signals:

1. Stretched Valuations. The market is trading at historically high multiples. The S&P 500's P/E ratio stands at around 26.6, well above the 10-year average of 18.9. The Shiller PE of 42.15 suggests we are in an excess zone that historically precedes significant reversals.

2. Technical Divergence and Breadth. While indices like the S&P 500 have hit new records above the 7,300-7,400 level, market breadth is worrying: the median stock in the index is about 13% below its 52-week highs. This "top-heavy" divergence, combined with unfavorable seasonality, increases the risk of a summer drawdown.
homunculoffu
May 13, 2026 4:52am
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better entry price!
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traderathome
May 13, 2026 1:37am
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There is a reason for inflation. Corporate bonuses. Do the math. The bigger the bonuses the more they raise prices for the next year round of bonuses, Hey! Maybe our moron President will add 'em all up for the past three quarters of a century and demand they pay that sum to the treasury..... so he can set up a citizen's distribution to eliminate poverty..... but siphon off the money for himself.... more gold statures and gilding in the White House!
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Trader#A0A6
May 13, 2026 1:11am
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Nipah, omicron, and monkey pox will help us all.
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