US: Bracing for impact | Forex Factory

  • US: Bracing for impact

    From media.rabobank.com Story is in PDF Format

    Last month, after running a range of trade war scenarios in a global macroeconometric model, we concluded that the probability of a recession in the US was larger than 50% (for details about the scenarios and the simulation outcomes, see A Tariff-Induced Recession?). In each scenario, the US economy contracted in Q3. Therefore, our recession forecast seems robust to a wide range of scenarios. The same is true for the rebound in inflation and the rise in unemployment. However, the depth and length of the recession depends on which scenario materializes. chart Trade negotiations are still in a state of flux, but ... (full story)

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TudorIoan
Jun 5, 2025 1:51am
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The US economy was fine before tariffs. Not great, but fine.
But the uneducated sick MAGA morons thought it was not fine at all.
Now is not. You won, MAGA ...duhhh!
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Polimini
Jun 5, 2025 4:33am
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Quoting TudorIoan
The US economy was fine before tariffs. Not great, but fine. But the uneducated sick MAGA morons thought it was not fine at all. Now is not. You won, MAGA ...duhhh!
it's all a master genius plan, you'll see, the Roman Empire... sorry, the US will rise again.
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OutThere
Jun 5, 2025 6:36am
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This backward ass country can't even predict storms let alone it's economy.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/weather/to...12324c76&ei=17
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Price
Jun 5, 2025 5:37am
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Trump: "We inherited a terrible economy from the Biden administration..... as you well know"
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saurav1
Jun 5, 2025 3:00am
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Quoting TudorIoan
The US economy was fine before tariffs. Not great, but fine. But the uneducated sick MAGA morons thought it was not fine at all. Now is not. You won, MAGA ...duhhh!
I thought Donald Trump was redirecting money flows from the Equities to the Treasury to strengthen US Dollar, but here we are.
Reply
Trader#824B
Jun 5, 2025 6:34am
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Deception, deception, deception, deception, just go out and observe what is actually happening in the US. The only economic casualties are the deeply blue sanctuary metropolitan cities that scammed the Federal government out of tax dollar to house, feed, drive, and employee the slave labor they facilitated to walk into our country, with the primary purpose of redistricting to manipulate elections. I have never seen such expansion in my city, apartments, single family homes, people out buying, spending, the only misinformation is coming from concerted,compromised, news businesses, committed to one single objective, "Orange Man Bad". It is unconscionable what has happened to the delivery of information. NBP (nothing but propaganda).
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