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A stronger case for a weaker US dollar
A month ago, we stated that the key challenge in the currency market was timing the dollar sell-off. A few weeks of stabilisation in the dollar suggest this is, indeed, still the case. And, while the Federal Reserve presumably reaching its peak and US inflation continuing its descent hardly came as a surprise, the last month provided – in our opinion – more evidence in support of a bearish dollar case in the second half of the year. The resurgence of stress in the US banking sector recently warned of a more deeply rooted crisis in the regional lenders' system. While the government and Fed are keeping it from ... (full story)
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