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The Fed will not pivot
Markets and the Fed both expect a hike this week and then a pause in June. They disagree on what happens after that. Markets expect the Fed to cut rates multiple times this year—referred to as a pivot—while the Fed says emphatically that it will hold rates high and not cut this year. I believe the Fed. You should too. Here are three reasons why: No one wants to be Arthur Burns. Current Fed officials experienced the 1970s and early 1980s firsthand. Inflation is persistent and won’t slow fast enough to declare victory this year. These reasons might strike some as simplistic and out of step with the data-driven ... (full story)
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