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  • FOMC Minutes: Several Officials Noted Dot Plot Tracking ‘Notably Above Market’, Officials Cited Risk Inflation Could Be ‘Modestly Persistent’

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There is actually something called dot plot tracking where people track what governors. Some people have lots of time on their hands!
FED just f'ed everyone.. bad times coming...
Quoting koopa24
FED just f'ed everyone.. bad times coming...
The bad times were setup by the covid financial supports and the slow rate increases last year. Now we just pay for it!
dxy gap at 104.650, gotta get filled somehow
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No way, any hint of further tightening will collapse stocks and mortgage markets.
Quoting dantpm
There is actually something called dot plot tracking where people track what governors. Some people have lots of time on their hands!
Nah, its just a data point. When and if waiting for asymmetrical trade opportunities - this is a good use of time.
Quoting koopa24
FED just f'ed everyone.. bad times coming...
The FEDs job is to create market(s), not necessarily to create the most ideal life for a consumer. Considering you find yourself touching the topic of market(s) - make use of the tremendous volume the Fed brings to our table. You are only as fucked as you wish to be. Apply and stay alive!
Legacy is not about Immortality
Quoting Xautrucho
{quote} The FEDs job is to create market(s), not necessarily to create the most ideal life for a consumer. Considering you find yourself touching the topic of market(s) - make use of the tremendous volume the Fed brings to our table. You are only as fucked as you wish to be. Apply and stay alive!
Actually the FED's job is to management interest rates, inflation and money supply or to provide a safe, flexible, and stable monetary and financial system. They aren't supposed to influence markets!
Quoting dantpm
{quote} Actually the FED's job is to management interest rates, inflation and money supply or to provide a safe, flexible, and stable monetary and financial system. They aren't supposed to influence markets!
Because I have no control over the FEDs work, stop loss and take profit are my best friend. Just like the FED, I analyze and participate in areas that are most appropriated. Politics and emotions are taboo to real market analysis.
Legacy is not about Immortality
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    Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee December 13-14, 2022

    From federalreserve.gov|Jan 4, 2023|21 comments

    The manager pro tem turned first to a discussion of developments in financial markets. Following several months of tightening, financial conditions eased over the period as investor concerns about global risks edged lower and incoming data showed nascent signs of a moderation in inflationary pressures. Central bank communications signaling a slower pace of policy rate increases appeared to contribute to improved sentiment. Measures of implied volatility across financial markets declined somewhat from the elevated levels observed in October. Consistent with the decline in volatility, model-based measures suggested that a drop in term premiums accounted for much of the decline in Treasury yields over the period. Equity markets moved higher. However, equity market contacts noted risks to growth ahead, and earnings expectations for coming quarters had been marked down. In foreign exchange markets, moderating concerns about the potential for highly elevated U.S. interest rates spurred a depreciation in the foreign exchange value of the dollar. In other market developments, the manager pro tem noted the failure of a prominent crypto-asset exchange. While the spillovers from this situation had been significant among other crypto lenders and exchanges, the post at 2:00pm: [DB] Fed Minutes: Participants Welcomed Inflation Drops in October and November, but Concurred It Would Take 'Substantially More Evidence' of Progress to Be Confident of a Sustained Downward Path: RTRS post at 2:00pm: FED MINUTES: PARTICIPANTS GENERALLY INDICATED UPSIDE RISKS TO INFLATION REMAINED A KEY FACTOR IN SHAPING POLICY OUTLOOK - https://t.co/wXVagA44VK post at 2:01pm: FED OFFICIALS CITED RISK INFLATION COULD BE MORE PERSISTENT A COUPLE OF FED OFFICIALS SAW INFLATION RISKS AS MORE BALANCED FED WARY OF AN `UNWARRANTED' EASING IN FINANCIAL CONDITIONS post at 2:01pm: FOMC Minutes: Officials Said Further Rate Increases Would Be Necessary --WSJ FOMC Minutes: Officials Agreed Rate Cuts Shouldn't Happen in 2023 --WSJ FOMC Minutes: Officials Emphasized Need for 'Flexibility and Optionality' in Policy Decisions --WSJ

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    Fed's Kashkari Predicts Fed Hikes To 5.4% And Pauses

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