-
US Dollar downgrade
Despite broadening lockdowns, the recovery trade in FX markets is in full swing and the dollar bear trend is showing no signs of slowing. Trying to time a correction is tricky and instead, we are focusing on lowering our end-year dollar forecasts. The short-term outlook: Dollar downgrade New Year early trading sessions have witnessed an extension of the FX trend we've seen since early November, namely a broad dollar decline. The central drivers here remain global recovery hopes backed by deeply negative US real rates. By successfully driving up US inflation expectations the Federal Reserve has successfully devalued ... (full story)