Legend
- High Impact Expected
- Med Impact Expected
- Low Impact Expected
- Non-Economic
Revision
- Green NumberBetter than forecast -or- revised better
- Red NumberWorse than forecast -or- revised worse
- m/mMonth Over Month
- q/qQuarter Over Quarter
- y/yYear Over Year
- K Thousand
- M Million
- B Billion
- T Trillion
US Chicago PMI
It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy;
Data is given to MNI subscribers 3 minutes before the public release time listed on the calendar - early market reaction is usually a result of trades made by these subscribers. Above 50.0 indicates expansion, below indicates contraction;
- US Chicago PMI Graph
- History
| Expected Impact / Date | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2026 | 56.7 | 55.7 | 62.7 |
| May 29, 2026 | 62.7 | 50.6 | 49.2 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | 49.2 | 54.8 | 52.8 |
| Mar 31, 2026 | 52.8 | 54.8 | 57.7 |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 57.7 | 52.0 | 54.0 |
| Jan 30, 2026 | 54.0 | 43.5 | 43.5 |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 43.5 | 39.8 | 36.3 |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 36.3 | 43.9 | 43.8 |
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- US Chicago PMI News
From drive.google.com|Jun 30, 2026The Chicago Business Barometer, produced with MNI, cooled 6.0 points to 56.7 in June. The Barometer remained in expansionary territory for a second consecutive month. The fall was driven by declines in New Orders and Production, while rises in Supplier Deliveries, Order Backlogs and Employment provided some offset. New Orders declined 11.7 points, partially unwinding the strong rise seen in May (which took the index to its highest level since January 2022). New Orders remain in expansion for a second consecutive month. Production ...
From advisorperspectives.com|May 29, 2026|2 commentsThe Chicago Purchasing Managers’ Index surged 13.5 points in May to a four-year high of 62.7, signaling an expansion in regional business activity. This marks the largest monthly increase since 2020 and was significantly higher than the projected 50.6. The Chicago PMI assesses the business conditions and the economic health of the manufacturing sector in the Chicago region. A value above 50.0 indicates expanding manufacturing activity, while a value below 50.0 indicates contracting manufacturing activity. Weak readings have often ...
From drive.google.com|Mar 31, 2026The Chicago Business Barometer, produced with MNI, tempered 4.9 points to 52.8 after three consecutive rises. Still, the Barometer has now spent three months in expansionary territory. • The decline was driven by Employment, Production and New Orders. Lifts in Order Backlogs and Supplier Deliveries provided some offset. • Employment weakened 12.8 points, now back in contractionary territory after one month above 50. However, the index remains considerably above levels seen at the end of 2025. • Production lightened 9.3 points, driven ...
From drive.google.com|Feb 27, 2026|1 commentThe Chicago Business BarometerTM, produced with MNI, climbed 3.7 points to 57.7 in February. Extending January’s strong increase, it saw a second consecutive month in expansionary territory after a run of twenty-five months below the key 50 mark. • The rise was driven by increases in Production, Employment, New Orders and Supplier Deliveries. A decline in Order Backlogs provided some offset. • Production strengthened 9.0 points to the highest level since November 2023, and marking two months above 50. • Employment grew 7.7 points to ...
From vtmarkets.com|Dec 30, 2025|2 commentsThe Chicago Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for December recorded a value of 43.5, surpassing the forecast of 39.5. This suggests an improved economic performance in the region’s manufacturing sector. The PMI metric serves as a gauge for economic activity, and a figure above expectations indicates stronger manufacturing output. This performance can impact various economic decisions and influence future market strategies. Economic Implications: The Chicago PMI report for December has come in better than feared at 43.5, which is a ...
From zerohedge.com|Nov 26, 2025MNI's Chicago Business Barometer Report came in dramatically worse than expected for November, printing 36.3 (the lowest since May 2024), well below expectations of 43.6 and the prior print of 43.8. Under the hood, it was all ugly: • Prices paid rose at a faster pace; signaling expansion • New orders fell at a faster pace; signaling contraction • Employment fell at a faster pace; signaling contraction • Inventories fell at a faster pace; signaling contraction • Supplier deliveries rose at a faster pace; signaling expansion • ...
From zerohedge.com|Oct 31, 2025|1 commentThere's good news and bad news in today's macro data (what scarce data there is). MNI's Chicago Business Barometer (PMI) printed a better than expected 43.8 (42.3 exp), up from the prior 40.6... chart There's a little more good news as seven of the underlying components rose vs last month: • Prices paid rose at a faster pace; signaling expansion • New orders fell at a slower pace; signaling contraction • Employment fell at a slower pace; signaling contraction • Inventories fell at a slower pace; signaling contraction • Supplier ...
From terrabullmarkets.com|Oct 30, 2025The October Chicago PMI, due Friday 31 October at 13:45 UK time, will offer a final glimpse into U.S. manufacturing momentum ahead of next week’s critical ISM and employment data. With last month’s reading at 40.6, marking a deep contraction and the 22nd consecutive sub-50 print, markets will be watching closely for signs that the regional factory sector is stabilizing after months of weakness. Consensus expectations point to a modest rebound to 42.3, but the risk balance remains finely poised as regional Fed surveys and flash PMI ...
| Released on Jun 30, 2026 |
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| Released on May 29, 2026 |
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| Released on Mar 31, 2026 |
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| Released on Feb 27, 2026 |
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| Released on Dec 30, 2025 |
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| Released on Nov 26, 2025 |
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| Released on Oct 31, 2025 |
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