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Friday saw one of the cleanest and broadest dollar advances in quite a while. The core driver of the move was the strong US jobs report, which has raised expectations that this year's energy inflation shock is landing on fertile ground for second-round effects. The market is pricing close to 30bp of Federal Reserve tightening this year and 50bp of ...
A eurozone interest rate hike in the coming week is set to place the European Central Bank (ECB) at the vanguard of global tightening caused by the Iran war. The quarter-point increase expected for Thursday would be the most notable move so far, given that similar action in advanced economies has taken effect in much smaller jurisdictions from Australia to ...
According to preliminary figures from the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis), real (price-adjusted) new orders in the manufacturing sector fell by 3.8% in April 2026 compared to March 2026, after seasonal and calendar adjustment. Excluding large orders, new orders were also 3.8% lower than in the previous month. In the less volatile three-month ...
President Donald Trump said the Federal Reserve would be wrong to raise interest rates as his nominee Kevin Warsh prepares to chair his first Fed policy meeting. Trump, in an interview with NBC’s Meet the Press, sought to push back against market sentiment after a blowout US jobs report for May spurred bets that the Fed’s next move will be a rate hike to ...
It is hard to make sense of market expectations of ECB policy. As the chart below shows, markets are pricing in a gradual increase in interest rates of 0.75% in total this year, with hikes of 0.25% expected in June, September and December. Interest rates are then expected to remain at 2.75% through the first part of 2027. This pricing makes little sense to ...
President Donald Trump stated that the Federal Reserve should lower interest rates rather than raise them in response to strong economic growth, during an interview broadcast Sunday morning on Meet the Press. Speaking with moderator Kristen Welker, Trump addressed upcoming decisions facing newly appointed Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh, whose first ...
From wolfstreet.com | 28 hr ago
The 2-year Treasury yield jumped by 12 basis points on Friday, to 4.17%, the highest since February 2025, when it was on the way down. Back then, it was anticipating more rate cuts, which came in the fall that year, three of them. Now it’s anticipating rate hikes – multiple rate hikes. Yields reflect the summary of the vast bond market’s diverse opinions. ...
Thank you for the opportunity to speak to you. The U.S. economy relies on a strong and stable banking system that extends credit to households and businesses. America's prosperity as well as the day-to-day needs of people and their efforts to plan for and build a better future depend on it. Today I want to share with you a few thoughts on the Federal ...
Higher energy prices continue to push headline inflation up. And we do not expect to see a meaningful reprieve in the food space either, especially following recent headlines about beef prices. Our forecast for core calls for a +0.3% m/m uptick in May, which would nudge the year-over-year pace to 2.9% – well below headline but moving in the wrong direction ...
From economics.bmo.com | Jun 6, 2026
This is it. Some of the ECB’s Governing Council members are likely thinking “We’ve waited long enough. Do it!” And do it they shall… that is, raise rates on June 11. Gone are the days when the ECB was sitting comfortably, describing the Euro Area’s inflation rate and monetary policy as being “in a good place” while watching other central banks grapple with ...
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Js3mwtRc replied 27 min agoJerome Powell and Christine Lagarde personally synchronized their atomic watches to ensure the algorithms slammed the brakes at exactly 1.14999!
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