there are any chance to trade with similarity with other pair currency/spot/etc
but similarity system its design for EURUSD
please becarefull
but similarity system its design for EURUSD
please becarefull
{quote} LOL, it took me 2.5 months to get through this thread while taking notes... and that was when it was only ~400 pages long!!!
This is what I'm trying at the moment.
Cheers, duplex
- #13,124
- Dec 2, 2014 11:21am Dec 2, 2014 11:21am
- Joined Feb 2006 | Status: Trader | 2,228 Posts
{quote} No harm done! Really - I'm grateful for any advice while trying to get a grip to this thread! duplex
- #13,125
- Dec 2, 2014 11:24am Dec 2, 2014 11:24am
- Joined Feb 2006 | Status: Trader | 2,228 Posts
duplex & Rparm,
In post #13125 brekz1 has raised a valid point & it would be wise to heed his point.
In post #13125 brekz1 has raised a valid point & it would be wise to heed his point.
- #13,127
- Dec 3, 2014 10:13am Dec 3, 2014 10:13am
- Joined Feb 2006 | Status: Trader | 2,228 Posts
{quote} Most of Eurusdd's BB/stoch examples involved divergence. In this case, price made a much lower low while the stoch was almost level. This could be considered regular divergence. In either regular or hidden divergence based on lows, look to buy. On any divergence based on highs, look to sell.
{quote} hi all, one bug was found with fractal/end-of-bar stats. here is the fixed version with the updated pdf (some corrections regarding the k section). cheers, k {file} {image}
Thanks mate, great work
About the prob calc ... using this indicator (RecurrentStatistic_V4.2) , if i get the value like this below for h_left=30, h_right=30 & 20 :
30/20 | 30/30 => h_left/h_right
------------------------------------ ----------------------
73,259 | 77,615 => Prob of Trans bar resolved
82,1688 | 85,376 => Prob of Frac bar resolved
At current situation, we have a blue fractal arrow, and we are on the 3rd bars to the right of that blue arrow.
a) If i want to know the probability of that arrow will be totally resolved in 20 bars after its position, must i calculate it like this ?
(85,376 - 82,1688) / (100 - 82,1688)
b) Does it mean that we don't care at which position we are now (after that blue arrow), we just need to know that h_right > current bar position after blue arrow to do the calculation (in this example 20 > 3).
Thanks a lot mate.
- #13,130
- Dec 4, 2014 6:40am Dec 4, 2014 6:40am
- Joined Feb 2014 | Status: ember | 1,268 Posts
{quote} Thanks mate, great work
In your example the calculation would be
(P(h_right=20)-P(h_right=3))/(100%-P(h_right=3))
P(h_right) is any of the probabilities to read off the RS indicator for your h_right, for example the clearance probability of a fractal (end of bar) zone. So you need to calculate these values for two timescales, one is your elapsed time after the zone was created (h_right=3), the second is your max trade length (h_right=20). In both cases you should use the same h_left.
The reason for this formula is that you divide the number of successful occurrences (success probability in your trade window 3<x<20, ~number of times when the first recurrence occurred between bars 3 and 20) by the total number of trials (3<x, ~number of times when the recurrence did not occur within the first three bars) to get the probability.
Cheers,
k
- #13,133
- Dec 5, 2014 5:49am Dec 5, 2014 5:49am
- Joined May 2010 | Status: Non Member | 2,751 Posts
Champagne for every one still remain another one 
still remain another one 
Don't be smart. Be rich.
- #13,134
- Dec 5, 2014 5:51am Dec 5, 2014 5:51am
- Joined May 2010 | Status: Non Member | 2,751 Posts
Markus, I'll be pleased if you accept to be the guest star of the Fest that I offer
Don't be smart. Be rich.
- #13,135
- Dec 5, 2014 6:25am Dec 5, 2014 6:25am
Champagne for every one
― Friedrich Nietzsche
the 3rd wave is the crowd's wave
- #13,139
- Dec 5, 2014 9:39am Dec 5, 2014 9:39am
- Joined Feb 2014 | Status: ember | 1,268 Posts
{quote} If people share too much their membership becomes revoked by the forexfactory, and their threads go in the recycle bin . Best is to be silent
k