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AUD/USD

  • #32,541
  • Aug 19, 2011 1:15pm Aug 19, 2011 1:15pm
Quoting mOmOgi
It depends on your broker's trading pairs. Beside the common pairs, each of them provide different 'not so common' pairs including stock market futures.
i understand now. thx again
  • #32,542
  • Edited 1:38pm Aug 19, 2011 1:24pm | Edited 1:38pm
DISCLAIMER: JUST A *POSSIBILITY*...

Possible H&S ? (2H)

Neckline: around 1.0300

Theorical target: 1.0000

However, maybe we'll go first to 1.0516 (which was the left shoulder top)
Use me as a contrarian indicator
  • #32,543
  • Aug 19, 2011 5:29pm Aug 19, 2011 5:29pm
do we have the same h&s?

I've highlighted three levels that I'll be paying close attention to if we bounce off the rising trendline and 1.0360. An aggressive break below this level will also have me short.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: aug20audtradeplan.png Size: 313 KB
Don't have an ego. Always question yourself and your ability.
  • #32,544
  • Aug 20, 2011 7:43am Aug 20, 2011 7:43am
Don't have H2 on my MT4 but there was a rising wedge followed by a bearish divergence that almost tested the 61.8 fib retrace on H4. following the elliott wave movement, the C movement seems to have started
  • #32,545
  • Aug 20, 2011 7:47am Aug 20, 2011 7:47am
So far, from my chart, it's still bearish.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audusd-h4.gif Size: 31 KB
  • #32,546
  • Aug 20, 2011 9:12am Aug 20, 2011 9:12am
http://lcchong.files.wordpress.com/2...ng?w=877&h=397

http://lcchong.files.wordpress.com/2...ng?w=877&h=396
  • #32,547
  • Aug 20, 2011 10:53am Aug 20, 2011 10:53am
Looks like a crap shoot here to me. Needing next candle to confirm any continuation to the south or reversal move that must break strong resistance....

I need to study more fundie's but know the US markets are a big influence here with a lot of uncertainty in the world markets also..Where is all the money coming from in the gold buying, AUD.? Will the US Treasury bonds remain a safe haven...?

Good luck everyone!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audaily 8.20.gif Size: 29 KB
  • #32,548
  • Edited 3:18am Aug 21, 2011 2:51am | Edited 3:18am
1) As of last Friday closed ...

World Indices = Down
Indices Futures = Down
Leading Stocks = Down
Commodities = Up
Rates & Bonds = UP ... except Euro Bund & Euro SCHATZ.

2) Monday in Asia ... 2 minor US Data only due to be released.

i) Chicago Fed National Activity Index / Forecast = -0.46 ---> -0.48
ii) MBA Deliquency Rates (YoY) / Forecast = 8.32% ---> 7.76%

attached : AU 5m tf
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: au5m_01.gif Size: 55 KB
  • #32,549
  • Aug 21, 2011 3:27am Aug 21, 2011 3:27am
Tracking USD Index ...
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  • #32,550
  • Aug 21, 2011 3:45am Aug 21, 2011 3:45am
.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: usdix4h_02.gif Size: 50 KB
  • #32,551
  • Aug 21, 2011 4:08am Aug 21, 2011 4:08am
.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #32,552
  • Edited 5:52am Aug 21, 2011 5:28am | Edited 5:52am
Current situation in Gold ...

... atm ... when Gold goes down ... AU goes up ! ... and vice versa ...

attached : Gold 5m & 4h tfs
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gold5m_01.gif Size: 54 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: gold4h_01.gif Size: 34 KB
  • #32,553
  • Aug 21, 2011 5:33am Aug 21, 2011 5:33am
Quoting VennD
Current situation in Gold ...

... atm ... when Gold goes down ... AU goes up ! ... and vice versa ...
very true!!!
  • #32,554
  • Edited 5:57am Aug 21, 2011 5:56am | Edited 5:57am
These two also behaves like Gold ...

If they goes down ... AU goes up ... and vice versa ...

attached : EUR/AUD 4h tf & GBP/AUD 4h tf
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: euraud4h_01.gif Size: 60 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: gbpaud4h_01.gif Size: 66 KB
  • #32,555
  • Aug 21, 2011 6:03am Aug 21, 2011 6:03am
Quoting VennD
These two also behaves like Gold ...

If they goes down ... AU goes up ... and vice versa ...

attached : EUR/AUD 4h tf & GBP/AUD 4h tf
OMG... of course they are...
  • #32,556
  • Aug 21, 2011 7:24am Aug 21, 2011 7:24am
Technicals points to further downside.

Weekly and 4HR Charts.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #32,557
  • Aug 21, 2011 1:34pm Aug 21, 2011 1:34pm
Quoting fork-forex
Technicals points to further downside.

Weekly and 4HR Charts.
Look at walmarts stock ... let it lead the way for indication as to how the Chinese exports are doing.
  • #32,558
  • Aug 21, 2011 2:10pm Aug 21, 2011 2:10pm
I guess the pair'll go much more down this week.
Don't know how low.. Maybe 1.02x
Hope this will happen
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: aud.jpg Size: 128 KB
  • #32,559
  • Aug 21, 2011 3:34pm Aug 21, 2011 3:34pm
AUD/USD @1.0370

Typical friday night activity with 1.0300 failure to break created a short cover scramble into the high 1.04's
1.0480-1.0500 seems to be the top and 1.0290-10 are the base.
Sensitive side maybe the downside first up but no real conviction.

Good luck
  • #32,560
  • Aug 21, 2011 3:44pm Aug 21, 2011 3:44pm
Quoting Day-Sleeper
Look at walmarts stock ... let it lead the way for indication as to how the Chinese exports are doing.
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