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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #6,521
  • Apr 15, 2020 9:24am Apr 15, 2020 9:24am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} USDJPY long trade update, very clean trade. will switch to short as shown on the chart {image}
nice catch
Simplicity Is The Ultimate Sophistication ~LDV~
  • #6,522
  • Apr 16, 2020 4:43am Apr 16, 2020 4:43am
EURUSD, short trade after broken TL
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDM15 41620202.png Size: 38 KB
  • #6,523
  • Apr 16, 2020 4:47am Apr 16, 2020 4:47am
GBPUSD, short trade
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDM15 4162020.png Size: 40 KB
  • #6,524
  • Apr 16, 2020 4:51am Apr 16, 2020 4:51am
AUDUSD, short trade
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDM15 4162020.png Size: 43 KB
  • #6,525
  • Apr 16, 2020 10:18am Apr 16, 2020 10:18am
EURUSD, bigger picture
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH4 41620209.png Size: 37 KB
  • #6,526
  • Apr 16, 2020 10:24am Apr 16, 2020 10:24am
EURUSD, setup, for adding to short trade
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH1 h1.png Size: 32 KB
  • #6,527
  • Apr 16, 2020 10:39am Apr 16, 2020 10:39am
Quoting shahab8b
EURUSD, setup, for adding to short trade {image}
absolutely love your analysis...
  • #6,528
  • Apr 16, 2020 10:49am Apr 16, 2020 10:49am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} absolutely love your analysis...
Thank you, that's very kind of you.
  • #6,529
  • Apr 16, 2020 11:38am Apr 16, 2020 11:38am
SPXUSD, SP500, looks like a head & shoulders. if the neckline breaks DXY will fly and the rest will tank.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: SPXUSD.PNG Size: 125 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: DXY 2020 aprl.PNG Size: 130 KB
  • #6,530
  • Apr 16, 2020 5:55pm Apr 16, 2020 5:55pm
Quoting shahab8b
SPXUSD, SP500, looks like a head & shoulders. if the neckline breaks DXY will fly and the rest will tank. {image} {image}
The pattern is no longer valid. It seems it doesn’t matter how many people are out of work and how many small businesses going under. Looking at the stock market, it seems we are in paradise.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: SPXUSD 4162020.PNG Size: 122 KB
  • #6,531
  • Apr 19, 2020 8:50am Apr 19, 2020 8:50am
EURUSD, USDCHF, and USDJPY (basically DXY) are forming the same triangle pattern. I'd wait for a clear directional bias.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPY-5Daily 4192020.png Size: 42 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCHF-5Daily 4192020.png Size: 43 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD-5Daily 4192020.png Size: 46 KB
  • #6,532
  • Apr 19, 2020 8:58am Apr 19, 2020 8:58am
GBPUSD, has difficulty breaking the S @ 1.243. A better sell setup would be shorting @ 1.270-50 former S now R zone in confluence with 0.61 fib.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSD-5Daily 4192020.png Size: 33 KB
  • #6,533
  • Apr 19, 2020 10:26am Apr 19, 2020 10:26am
USDCAD, looks like a wedge pattern.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCAD-5Daily 4 19 2020.png Size: 32 KB
  • #6,534
  • Apr 19, 2020 4:50pm Apr 19, 2020 4:50pm
EURUSD, as the market is range bound, I have these levels for sell or buy for now
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDM15 4192020.png Size: 43 KB
  • #6,535
  • Apr 19, 2020 7:20pm Apr 19, 2020 7:20pm
Quoting shahab8b
EURUSD, as the market is range bound, I have these levels for sell or buy for now {image}
really like your analysis,

I found this TL, holds price for 4 times, on previous,
had a plan to sell it since Friday on the 5th touch, but I missed it.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd.jpg Size: 175 KB
Simplicity Is The Ultimate Sophistication ~LDV~
  • #6,536
  • Apr 19, 2020 7:49pm Apr 19, 2020 7:49pm
Quoting alterchristo
{quote} really like your analysis, I found this TL, holds price for 4 times, on previous, had a plan to sell it since Friday on the 5th touch, but I missed it. {image}
nice observation, also dont forget about this TL, that's why i didnt short it
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDM15 4192020.png Size: 45 KB
  • #6,537
  • Apr 19, 2020 11:18pm Apr 19, 2020 11:18pm
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} nice observation, also dont forget about this TL, that's why i didnt short it {image}
thanks shahab, i'm glad that i missed that trade.
Simplicity Is The Ultimate Sophistication ~LDV~
  • #6,538
  • Edited 9:32am Apr 21, 2020 6:59am | Edited 9:32am
Quoting shahab8b
My take on S&P500. It may be an AB=CD pattern in play with 0.61 fib and former S now R at 2900 at the same level {image}
The S&P500 ab=cd pattern played out well. I think there will be more downside from here. The best pairs to play this will be short AUDUSD, NZDUSD, AUDJPY, long USDCAD, and probably short GBPUSD.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: SXP 4212020 1.PNG Size: 92 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: SPX 4212020 2.PNG Size: 91 KB
  • #6,539
  • Apr 21, 2020 2:12pm Apr 21, 2020 2:12pm
GBPUSD, sell setup @ 1.24 confluence of a round number, fib 0.38, and S truned R zone.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSD-5H1 4212020.png Size: 36 KB
  • #6,540
  • Apr 21, 2020 2:17pm Apr 21, 2020 2:17pm
EURGBP, long setup
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURGBP-5H1 4 21 2020.png Size: 36 KB
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