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Relief in the Gulf, relief in markets
Markets started the week with noticeable relief. The trigger was news that the US and Iran had agreed on a declaration of intent that could be formalized in Geneva on Friday. The core of the draft is reportedly a 60-day window for further negotiations—flanked by a ceasefire and the prospect of reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Although similar reports in the past were ultimately not implemented, markets reacted strongly to the announcement: Brent fell by more than 4% at the start of the week to around USD 83 per barrel, and equity markets rose sharply. At the same time, yields in bond markets declined: With energy ... (full story)
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