To determine if a currency pair is ranging or trending, there are several indicators I use apart from the Hurst Exponent:
- Hurst Exponent – This helps assess long-term trends and mean reversion. A value close to 0.5 indicates a ranging market, while values above 0.5 suggest a trending market.
- Linear Regression – I analyze the R-squared value (above 0.9) to gauge trend strength. If the R-squared is low, the market is more likely ranging.
- Moving Averages – I use them to identify trends. When prices are above or below a moving average, it suggests a trend; if prices hover around it, the market is likely ranging.
- Bollinger Bands – A tight range suggests consolidation, while expanding bands indicate trending volatility.
- ZigZag Indicator – This helps spot the swing highs and lows, making it easier to differentiate between trends and ranges.
By combining these tools, I can more accurately determine the market's state.