I couldn't find a macro thread so I decided to start one for sh*ts and giggles. For those who don't know, macro trading is like fundamental trading but with a focus on major trends that moves entire economies. It looks at demographics, geo-political tensions, divergence between monetary policies, those kind of things.
One exemple of a FX macro trade is back in 2014 when M.Draghi had its famous "whatever it takes" speech while at the same time the FED was starting to get more "hawkish". The EUR/USD tanked like a rock. It was a fairly obvious trade (full disclore, I tried to buy the bottom and got destroyed). Same with oil around the same time: shale was taking over in the US which lead to excess supply and usd was getting stronger which lead to a steep drop in oil, CAD, I assume NOK and it affected everything oil related.
As long as you have some research to back your ideas, post them, no matter how crazy they sound.
The rules are simples:
One exemple of a FX macro trade is back in 2014 when M.Draghi had its famous "whatever it takes" speech while at the same time the FED was starting to get more "hawkish". The EUR/USD tanked like a rock. It was a fairly obvious trade (full disclore, I tried to buy the bottom and got destroyed). Same with oil around the same time: shale was taking over in the US which lead to excess supply and usd was getting stronger which lead to a steep drop in oil, CAD, I assume NOK and it affected everything oil related.
As long as you have some research to back your ideas, post them, no matter how crazy they sound.
The rules are simples:
- As long as you have some research to back your ideas, post them, no matter how crazy they sound.
- critics of other people ideas need to be backed up by something credible (numbers, charts, research)
- we judge ideas, not people. We are not building egos but trade ideas.
- failure to comply to those rules will get you banned, swiftly.
just in case you did not figured out yet, none of this is investment advice. It would be most unwise to invest money because an anonymous forum dude had an idea, your money your risk.
With that being said, if we put all our feeble minds together, we might muster one or two decent trade ideas while at the same time get material to sound smarter at our next family dinners. Honestly, I don't have any hopes, I don't think this kind of topic interest people on most trading forum but who knows, maybe it will catch on.