Manual/Mobile (TE)

Please see this post to see some DISCLAIMER for this TE...
https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...7#post12259677

When reviewing above TE, please select the period from 02APR19+... since that is the day I started (real) trading in this TE (deposited in mid FEB19).
I was basically playing with cents (or pocket change) before which is now destroying my DD in above statistics. Please see the "real" statistics (below) from 02APR19+ where you can see the (current) return 110%+ with max-drawdown under 15%. I selected the timeframe in above statistics from 31DEC18 just to be placed on the annual Leaderboard otherwise I would have selected from the day I actually (really) began trading, so since 02APR19. And also, this trading is only a sample of my trading. All my trading strategies use the same prediction model however. I do not feel to disclose the other TEs since TradeLists are published here and I do not want to take any chance for someone to reverse engineer at least some part/component of my price prediction model of 10 years. But I hope this published TE serves at least some purpose, for example to at least give me a benefit of the doubt that I might know what I am talking about here

Current return: 102% since 02APR19, when I (really) began trading.
Return seen in the current statistics (and my signature) is 96,5% since it tracks the whole 2019 so even before the deposit (mid FEB).
If you select 15FEB (after deposit), TradeReport significantly improves (DD etc...).
Check the published equity/balance chart to see the date from the deposit (mid FEB) and check the return and DrawDown since.

The main goal, for this TE that I am publishing here was to DOUBLE the deposit and have it published here.
But since I wanted it to be placed on the annual board, I had to selected the date before the 2019, so all the trades are included, also the micro ones, the ones before deposit etc, but that was the "price" to be listed on the annual LIVE LeaderBoard. Also regarding the LeaderBoard.. it also affected my trading (after publication) since I had this published statistics in the back in my mind. The positive thing was that I waited for some good trades but also I waited for some bad ones that I might pull before. All trades are included in statistics and they should be, although some small/micro trades could colour (RED) or break "number of winning trades", therefore maybe distort the overall trading performance picture.

I concluded that to stand-out by Return alone, on the Leaderboard, the minimum return should be 300% and at 500%, the real game starts
Or much lower than that and good DD and/or other trading parameters, if one would analyse the whole 100 people on the LeaderBoard to find the "diamond".
Currently I have a good, I believe, return-DD stat (since 02APR19), 100+%, sub 15% DD. Although "intra trade" DD was around 30% realistically, it just went through without close/SL so it wasn't recorded. But this is the nature of this TE setup. Realistically... returns of 900%+ can be expected.. but also
the DD could be expected to be up to 90% at which point the trading should be stopped since something is clearly not working properly, at least at the time.

I was "playing" a little, from "the road" and sometimes from desktop setup.. with this published TE since It came to 100% return. I was checking the LeaderBoard.. and wanted to climb little steps and or to "round" my returns... This resulted to some of really bad trades due to really bad timing. Also the picture from mobile is much harder for overview, at least for me. Would like to have REAL FxTrade on my mobile phone, I do not see market (overview) well with candles.

I will now trade on different TE, desktop based, unpublished TE. I will use the same prediction model that I have been using for the last 10 years.
The thing about model is that no mater how long or successfully it worked. It could be over in the next trade. That is the not so uncommon story.
So I am always careful about it

Based on the returns or return-DD (ratio) I will then decide should I re-enter some of the trades later (from the main unpublished TE), in this published TE, manually, to scramble a little (do not want to publish main TradeList due to the risk of reverse-engineering, at least for some period, until the recalculation) or should I open and publish some new TEs with specific parameters, for example TARGET 10-25% return, max 5-10% exposure/DD... TARGET 1000%, 90% exposure... ETC... But I would like to have this TE, that I am publishing already, upgraded to 900%. Will see how it goes.

So ok, this was really it for now... Was trying to round or pass the 100% "from the road", but I would now have to make REAL trades and should I decide, re-trade some of future trades.. And also, I am done with this either trading with cents, to round some number in the stat or with this micro/small trades that I consider anything less than TP5, or even TP10... Would like to make "real" trades, TP10+... and no pulling out of trades, just wait for them to be TP or SL. Because the statistics, tradelist would be much more representative, better overview, and the overall statistics as well.

SO starting next week, I will be doing up to 3week test of the model and harvest strategy, after which will I maybe decide what TE to publish here... Or I will either extend the test to 3months or make the trades and publish later, in September and to start making real trades, along with the posting, since then.

Details will follow, most probably in the end of JUNE or beginning of SEPTEMBER, depends how it goes.

And yes, I might also post on the Auric Forecasts thread, about the price prediction, when one might use it but set their TP/SL or Leverage parameters themselves. Might provide broad estimate of TP/SL/LEV however.

That would be it.

NEXT OBJECTIVE for this TE: 300%+ Return on Annual LeaderBoard. Will reply to this post when it happens.

Ok played with PIPS in the last few days, please see the update.... check the return since 02APR19, after the deposit, check the chart...
107,7% return, 13,9% DD...
RETURN to DRAWDOWN factor = 7,7

But the next goal is 300%, for this TE. Hope to get there, have to test (harvest) strategy first and hope to be back to make this happen..
Level after that would be 500%...
Basically would just need to double twice and I'm there.. Has happened before, many times... just hope it doesn't have too big DD meanwhile.

Next post estimated in 3w-3m... if all goes well.

Oh and yes, should I watech the STAT.. wouldn't be playing with cents that distorted above stat...
ONCE/IF I get back to this... I wil try to trade with this in mind, to not have TEST/cents trades that would decrease my performance for no reason or cut my stream of wins etc... You can chak TradeList and chart carefully.. You might find if it is just luck or there might be something. If you will, let me know also since I still do not "know" only speculate, If I am honest to myself. Thanks.

Made one "too obvious" kind of trades, shouldn't.. because It went in massive exposure until it did hit TP... It was planned to be just a quick dip.
Anyway, below is the latest snapshot, really done LIVE trading in this TE, untill I re-test harvest strategy.. If all goes well, I will start real trading, with good sizes, volume... in 3weeks-3months.. it dependse how long would it take to be somewhat "sure" in the harvest strategy.. and in the price prediction model before that.
The later seems to still be working although at those kind of market conditions, one have to be careful.. And in addition, the complenetary harvest strategy must be synched because overall profit is a result of a good sync between the two (if the first one is working and depending how much/quick it is working).

Current stat, since 02APR+ when I started, after deposit, see above for more info...
RETURN: 119,9%
DD: 13,9%..
But BEAR in mind that INTRADAY exposure was let's say up to about 35%.. specially today when there were, what it seems (judging by the model) massive anomalies, before it did wen't through, but there was a good risk that it would go to 50% (margin call)... Altough this might be optimised after the harvesting strategy test with either... eliminating high-risk entries (when anomalies are "detected") or to optimise TP SL parameters and ratios...

See attached chart...

Just made one 1PIP to round my returns here (115,1% atm... #30 on LIVE annual LeaderBoard).

Here is the latest snapshot from 02ARP19 since I began real trading, se before posts.

Will start trading/posting in this TE after I re-test some (harvest) strategies...
So expect post in the next 3w-3m..

Will keep it synced, just to put speculations of all sorts to rests

Stat from my broker for the same period (02APR19-08JUN19)

Ok happy how this published TE rounded... I will now really leave it till the FALL, unless some good opportunities come that I can re-trade on this TE...
I still want it to get to 300%-500%+ to get some attention..
Anyway, please check my latest stat, please check from 02APR19 for the reasons above...
RETURN to DD ratio (Return Over Maximum Drawdown (RoMaD)) is now 10+! Yeah, intratrade DD is much higher (up to 50% balance exposure per trade)... but this TE is build for INTERSTELLAR mode... x10 FOLD or more... so DD is ti bo priced-in... Otherwise we would have to wait too long... It is a burner type... I will use the same price prediction model on some other TEs.. some more stable, some even more tuned...Will published them by the fall, if all goes well...

Ok a quick stop, due to some "opportunities"... I rounded this published TE to 150% annual LIVE... #14 on the Live annual LeaderBoard here at FF at the moment...
Please, as always, check my stat from 02APR19.. when I (really) started trading after the deposit (see previous posts and charts)...
Here are is the latest chart since 02ARP19 till today:

1. 157,2% return; 13,9% DD... RoMaD factor 11+, Sharpe ratio 2+, 82,1% win rate

Although tbh! exposure per trade up to 50% balance (this is how this TE is tuned for now, because it is designed for x10 fold return or more...

Played some more with this TE... I think I will (really) leave it for now...
02APR19-07JUL19; 169,2% return, 13,9% DD

Have to re-test some (harvest) strategies... Price prediction model is the same...
Check out my other posts about the TREND for the Summer of 2019...
Should it be correct, to be confirmed/seen in the next few weeks...
I plan to publish some more TEs, more dedicated, more clear, larger trades...
much better return and still good DD...

See (type) you soon, hopefully.

Ok played some more.. now will focus on other TEs that I plan to publish soon, or till 10th of OCT 19...
The parameters will be as close to the ones votes as possible.. and maybe some more...
Might post here.. about super-leveraged TP20 SL 20 trades... in this thread...

hi, traded some more.. wanted to make some "last trade" at news.. mistake... price did reach but much later, after retracement..
had to enter with heavy trading so that I got to slightly above original position... Should I decide to trade in this TE some more, next target is 300% return...
It is somewhat semi-burner... the DD is not good because I didnt plan originally to publish it, it was for test... but hey, good returns might justify even that, so will decide if I go to 300%... not that far... basically it is just 5 of my "standard" trades... witout SL that is... will see... will test my strategy first.. and model.. than see what will happen, might publish NEW, fresh TEs... with LIVE trades.... that you could copy... and PS... since it is designed for max exposure... I opened trades while the open trade generated some profits.. entered size in profits... but when I closed one main trade... all the para-trades... were seen as LOSS too... so it distorted the losing streak stat... check tradelist carefully.. those para-trades were not big.. was basically ONE TRADE.. not 7

IMPORTANT NOTE!
Live TE stat is somewhat distorted (just) now ... I made some transfers between accounts yesterday and then it got distorted... it divides profit to deposits (+ or incioming transfers only), not counting that I just transferred (borrowed) the money from one (live) account to another (and gave back within an hour).. Resolving the issue now...

My current annual return for this LIVE TE is still 171,5%! Just transfered money between accounts yesterday.. and when I gave it back the profit was divided to "new" deposits that were in reality just same money returned... within an hour... IF anyone doubts this, I can give you official info from broker... or maybe open BALANCE/profits to display and you can deduct it yourself! Or just check my tradelist.. and count yourself

Sadly this TE was completely distorted (stat wise)... I transfered full balance to other account, to test something, when I returned it.. the profits were divided by this new "deposits" that weren't... just borrowed and returned within an hour... couldn't believe it so I tried to transfer about 1/3 of the account back and forth.. it divided even further... I dropped so much on the leaderboard for this reason combined with the fact that this TE was opened in 2018 as a test.. hence so high DD...
I decided to trade new TE from scratch... watching DD this time and hope to get back on the leaderboard... top #10.. that I would have been already, without those (internal) transfers! I managed to TRIPPLE the deposit i deposited in mid february... and I haven't traded so aggressively after I doubled... to begin with..

So you you in another TE thread... I might open this TE later... for parallel, just to get on the annual leaderboard that I wouldn't be able to no mater the return... because it will be opened this year...

trippled my real deposit today (since FEB 2019).. sadly stat showing wrong due to transfers counted as deposits (and profits being divided by deposits+transfers), see above post (I basically transfered full account amount to some other account (at same broker) and gave it back within an hour... repeated with about 1/3 of the account.. to verify this.. and now instead of having 200%+ return, It shows about 43%...... will decide what to do with this TE (since it will not show correct stat now... this TE was based/started wrongly anyway..... since I played with cents in the beginning, before deposit... it distorted the DD) in 1-3weeks... still ok since it was opened in 2018, to be posted on the annual leaderboard, but with distorted stat now (I would have to make brutal amounts of return now to be listed to top #10...), so not a good representation due to stat calc situation...

New TEs in making however...