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- lemna replied Jul 14, 2018
Assuming S is gone from here for 90 odd days - curious whether anyone has run their own tests on the data? S never mentioned how many years his stats from the first post go back.
- lemna replied Jun 20, 2018
Thanks for a great thread, its so refreshing to see something backed up by real research.
- lemna replied Oct 23, 2017
I say yes but be careful not to be over-optimized in defining your pattern. I've seen certain pairs have amazingly predictable and simple patterns for a few years and then just vanish.
- lemna replied Oct 4, 2017
Thanks. I got the feeling that he developed the strategy partly as a way of dealing with being in a less than optimal time zone, so he could get some sleep during his night time without having to babysit the trades. Good luck with it.
- lemna replied Oct 4, 2017
Seneca Pilot's method seemed to be highly discretionary, although he did write that he paid money to have it researched and it held up well historically. I tested it methodically myself and found it to be catastrophically bad. I also seem to recall ...
- lemna replied Aug 8, 2017
Hi Copernicus. Not demanding a back test but would be interesting to see how it would compare by sector, e.g. 1) stock indices 2) commodities 3) wide range of Forex pairs. I suspect a wide range of Forex pairs (say the main 28) would come off ...
- lemna replied Jul 27, 2017
Thanks Copernicus. That is also very interesting and I am happy to be proved wrong! I have come to my beliefs about trends through using some different testing parameters. I take weekly data and go long if price is above X or X,Y lookbacks, short if ...
- lemna replied Jul 27, 2017
Best wishes, Graviton.
- lemna replied Jul 27, 2017
Copernicus, that's really interesting. Any chance you have results for stock indices long only with the same test to hand?
- lemna replied Jul 27, 2017
Forex swaps can also be a problem in holding positions long term, as you mentioned. I personally believe its an unfair tactic used by brokers as they definitely charge more than they have to, and very rarely offer positive swaps. In any case, ...
- lemna replied Jul 27, 2017
Apologies for not digging it out, but I'm pretty sure that if you apply a momentum formula to all the 28 currencies pairs and crosses, and back test for years and years, you don't come out with much at the end. However, if you use only the USD and ...
- lemna replied Jul 27, 2017
Trend trading Forex can be very challenging, because its all fiat currencies which can be manipulated by central banks that often have an agenda of keeping them flat. Forex has a greater tendency to mean revert compared to stock indices (which have ...
- lemna replied Jun 28, 2017
Evaluation payment is a very common model for scammers! Their site is a joke, the company is supposed to be run by "senior traders", whoever that is. Their mailing address is at a small farming community in Israel - it is some scammer who thought he ...
- lemna replied Jun 27, 2017
No real prop firm asks for cash up front. They also tend to spell check their contracts.
- lemna replied Sep 1, 2016
This morning I guess. There was a major news release and the price rose 73 pips approx in 1 minute. Yes, not a surprising result.
- lemna replied Sep 1, 2016
Really depends on the conditions that were prevailing when the price reached your trigger. If there was a major news item release and the price shot right through your entry immediately, its not impossible to be slipped 50 or even 100 pips. GBP/USD ...
- lemna replied Jul 20, 2016
I don't think there is really anything you can do except find a broker that tends to go easier on the overnight swaps. Maybe also try to take partial profits along the way? Its an easy way for them to make sneaky money out of their clients - and ...
- lemna replied May 11, 2016
I am new to this thread, it looks really interesting. I am trying to find a place to start with the basics of Gap theory. I read the PDF of Maria's ideas and it refers to Gap but doesn't explain what it is or how it is calculated. I also read back ...
- lemna replied Apr 24, 2016
Trend following has worked well enough in Forex, provided its done on major / USD pairs, and you enter on pullbacks with fairly tight stops, and forget about breakouts. Just take an excel of major pairs with weekly data and go long when price is ...
- lemna replied Dec 15, 2015
I was only talking about Forex. I can only say that every time I check out any kind of trend trading strategy on Forex over recent years, if you take USD and EUR out of the equation, its a loser.