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- 379 Results (4 Threads, 375 Replies)

- mathematician replied Jun 14, 2016
I haven't really noticed a difference, but then again, I haven't really been paying close attention to it. It should be basically the same, either way, as a ratio or product. I mean, arbitrage should make it all work out pretty much the same.

- mathematician replied Nov 13, 2015
Yes, risking your whole acccount is very risky, but that's why you don't risk your whole account on one trade! I know. I iknow: You weren't saying that we intentionally risk the whole account on one trade; you were saying that we can't be guaranteed ...

- mathematician replied Nov 13, 2015
No. I haven't done anything like that. I don't know much about time series. I'm not an applied mathematician. I studied pure math, where the whole approach is very different. It seems to me, that in applied math, physics, and engineering, the ...

- mathematician replied Nov 12, 2015
Oh definitely, in a game like poker, having a bunch of amateurs around the table really helps your edge!

- mathematician replied Nov 12, 2015
Well that's basically what we've been saying. We've been saying that in order to consistently make money, you must have an edge. But if the person you're playing against has an edge over you, then he'll be the one gradually making money and you'll ...

- mathematician replied Nov 11, 2015
I think we're getting jumbled up in terms of what we're calling independent. I agree with you that from the beginning of a spin to the end of a spin, there is a huge series of depentent events. It's extremely complex and with enough data and ...

- mathematician replied Nov 11, 2015
Yeah, totally. There are a few guys hawking their software that claims to unlock the mystical mathematical secret order of the markets. They spew a bunch of fancy-sounding rhetoric to scare their audience into thinking that there's something they ...

- mathematician replied Nov 11, 2015
I don't believe money management is all that's necessary. One also needs a true edge in terms of being able to spot opportunities where you can tip the odds in your favour.

- mathematician replied Nov 11, 2015
Now that is something I can get behind! I agree that many people overthink every single trade. If you're doing it right, there should be little hesitation and consistent application for your approach.

- mathematician replied Nov 11, 2015
Yeah, actually that looks really interesting!

- mathematician replied Nov 11, 2015
You're talking about "the Counterargument", right? I just read it. The author has no idea what he's talking about. It's painfully obvious in every paragraph. He really doesn't understand statistical independence or basic logic at all. He's actually ...

- mathematician replied Nov 11, 2015
In a sense, yes. Why do you think they invited him back? They know that all of this will generate a lot of publicity and that it will bring more players to their casino. This casino is just playing at a higher level. Some people risk 1% a trade, ...

- mathematician replied Nov 11, 2015
As you can tell from my last post, I think there are actually a lot of similarities -- if you trade like the house. Well, yes, I guess every participant is "gambling" in the sense that no one knows with 100% certainty what will happen next. It's ...

- mathematician replied Nov 10, 2015
All of this has got me thinking: We normally think of casinos as acting cool, calm, and collected because they know they have an edge on many of their games. But what if we think of casinos in the opposite light? What if there is some casino owner ...

- mathematician replied Nov 10, 2015
I could imagine a machine that's fast enough and good enough at monitoring the position of the ball through time and calculating odds through rapid physics modelling to be able to gain a slight edge in predicting where the ball will land. I am ...

- mathematician replied Nov 10, 2015
Well I agree with you that someone could have an edge in poker. I don't know anything about baccarat. But no one can have an edge in roulette. I do believe, however, that someone can have an edge in trading.

- mathematician replied Nov 10, 2015
Yes, I'm not surprised. One has to take on some risk in order to make a profit. I find these relationships interesting, but I don't really use them because I don't think they can give me any sort of edge. In fact, this sort of over-analysis tends to ...

- mathematician replied Nov 10, 2015
I don't think I understand what you mean by "swap" in this context.

- mathematician replied Nov 10, 2015
So then I guess you believe that the previous spins of a roulette wheel have some effect on the next spin. Otherwise, what would be the basis you use for making your bets? What would have to happen to make you decide to increase your bet at a ...