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- duketoga replied Sep 21, 2010
Hi, I am not sure what Graeme intended the coin flip to indicate. However, it is clear that participants have misinterpreted the possibilities in real trading. As you mentioned, Graeme mentioned taking reversal of existing legs, which I believe he ...
- duketoga replied Sep 21, 2010
The coin flip strategy if flawed — Hello all, I am an autotrader, and have been reading this thread with some interest. I would like to point out that the "coin flip" scenario as it is being conducted here is flawed. In fact, as presented ...
- duketoga replied Aug 22, 2007
Agreed — ScottH, Excellent points. We say a 52% win ratio can gain money assuming that each trade has an equal gain or loss. Without the spread, a 50% win ratio will neither lose nor gain money over time, and with a 40 pip average gain/loss ...
- duketoga replied Aug 13, 2007
Jason, I also found it strange that these threads are so unpopular. I think it is skepticism about the feasibility and/or the general difficulty getting them to work. It is a LOT of hard work! So actually you are the expert on this thread, since you ...
- duketoga replied Aug 13, 2007
Some more ideas... — Glad to see that some people are interested in this!! It seems like many autotraders here are using EAs via the MT4 platform. Perhaps the nature of my work is rather different from those who aren’t going to code themselves ...
- duketoga replied Aug 13, 2007
Hi Melpheos, I think I should clarify this point. I don't mean that every trading system can be programmed easily or to great accuracy at the present. I mean that it is theoretically possible to emulate through programming any set of decision making ...
- duketoga replied Aug 13, 2007
Hi jjk2! Well, it's impossible to say exactly what is going on without seeing the thesis, but it is farly easy to fit the data to pick tops and bottoms. This is especially true if you ignore the timescale, so that each top and bottom is +1000 pips ...
- duketoga replied Aug 13, 2007
Hello Blackmage! I'm glad you dropped by, as one intention of this thread is to attract people exactly like yourself! It's funny that you mention the techniques that you use. I had not yet discussed my methods because they are a bit specific to the ...
- duketoga replied Aug 12, 2007
Regarding NN and GA — Hi, thanks for your reply. I would like to comment on the neural network + genetic algorithm approach. In short: it is dangerous. By that, I mean that it tends to give you good results that do not hold up upon live ...
- duketoga replied Aug 12, 2007
I agree 100%. There appears to be some fundamental disagreement with mechanical autotrading for a lot of people who won't even consider that such a system can work - never mind the details or whether or not it already works for some people! I am ...
- duketoga replied Aug 10, 2007
Why buy software? — Hi Alexandar and company, I am creating autotrade systems using machine learning methods, although not neural networks. I DID, however, use neural networks when beginning my work until I got better results with other ...
- duketoga replied Aug 10, 2007
Hi Al, Thanks for the reply. I understand what you mean, but my point is that these types of systems that are parameter based may in fact be fundamentally flawed. These systems may be capturing some timing of reversals that is particular to the ...
- duketoga replied Aug 9, 2007
Why can't a system be profitable indefinitely? — I see written: "I agree with you to some extent. There is no solid system in this world that can generate money forever. A profitable system is a dynamic system that reacts to market behavioural ...
- duketoga replied Aug 9, 2007
Please clarify — ManinBlack: Please clarify the quote you made about craps players beating casinos. As a math man and engineer, I understand that the odds on every single throw are slighly greater than the payout, similar to roulette (which ...
- duketoga replied Aug 8, 2007
Moderator - Can you move this to 'Forex Discussion' please? — Well, perhaps I should elaborate on some things: Why autotrade? It seems like most people regarding automated/mechanical trading systems as a sort of cop out, a lazy mans ...
- duketoga replied Aug 6, 2007
Chris, This is something I have been thinking about while I am developing my autotrading strategies. Since any autotrading system has to take a "slow and steady" approach, a good result will be consistent, positive pips every month. Certainly the ...
- duketoga replied Aug 6, 2007
Wrong forum? — Hmmm... it appears that I accidentally posted in the forum for fully developed systems. My apologies to the moderators for this. -Duke
- Introduction & AutoTrading Ideas
Allow myself to introduce myself, I have been reading these forums at ForexFactory for a few weeks ...
- Posts by Member Search: 'duketoga'