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- kiranu replied Aug 17, 2007
fed did not cut long term rates. they said that risks are so high. after this, BOE and ECB will behave in the same manner. Thats why, BOE and ECB rate hike is a dream. they can even cut their rates. be careful..
- kiranu replied Aug 16, 2007
i mean hedge fund industry. there are lots of hedge fund earning from carry trade. Japans will increase their rates. Not soon but they will. this is not good for gbp.
- kiranu replied Aug 16, 2007
thats why i said close under 1.98 in weekly base means trend reversal. This financial crisis is not problem of USD and JPY. This is problem for carry trade like gbp,aud,nzd and eur. This is not only mortgage problem guyss, this is also carry trade ...
- kiranu replied Aug 16, 2007
Comments on retail sales: For retail sales as a whole the implied deflator came in at -1.1% in July, a sign that shops across the board had to reduce prices heavily to keep the shoppers coming in. That's also consistent with the sharp fall in ...
- kiranu replied Aug 16, 2007
From the news : Despite the rise in retail sales, there was evidence of widespread discounting, suggesting that it was price cuts and not a steadfast willingness to spend which drew shoppers. "The headline figures are obviously stronger than market ...
- kiranu replied Aug 16, 2007
come on guys... i am not writing too often here. the first time i wrote here i said that gbp would see. 2.0570-670 range. At that time it was 2.0300. Then when it came to this range i warned everybody here. I said there would be correction and i ...
- kiranu replied Aug 16, 2007
RSI 14 in weekly chart is important. If it close under 50, we will see what happen to gbp in the medium term. again said that dont be hopeful for gbp. risks are improving for GB, for world. After this criss, Japans will come to play.
- kiranu replied Aug 16, 2007
Bernanke will not do same mistake as Grenspan did. He will wait and see. Congress does not mean anything. All power is in hand of Bush. Buffet is near the democrats. He is the major speculator in the currency. There are two option for Buffet to ...
- kiranu replied Aug 16, 2007
dont be so hopeful for gbp in long term after this period. there is no Blair anymore. they will increase rates at most one. then they will start to cut rates. this expection is enough for a big reversal. of course in the short term it will go up. ...
- kiranu replied Aug 16, 2007
Trend lines can change from person to person. They can not be objective. Your position can effect your technical. However, what about sentiments? I think Bernanke is better than Grenspann. Because he is not speclator. He will not cut the rates ...
- kiranu replied Aug 15, 2007
it seems that 1.9860 is strong support. if cpi comes more than expected, you can close your longs and add shorts. on the other side, you can open longs target 2.0016-50 area. but close under 1.9860 means 2.0650 is medium term top. let see datas and ...
- kiranu replied Aug 13, 2007
Today, i wrote this...
- kiranu replied Aug 13, 2007
china — This week will be important for gbp. Because, inflation report, retail sales and bank of minutes will be released this week. All of these datas are expecting to ease. This means that gbpusd can see further decline. What is more? CPI ...
- kiranu replied Aug 8, 2007
when the pair was 2.0650, i wrote that we should see a correction. I had said that i can see 2.0050-2.0100 zone. Now, pair is at 2.0160 which is MAE(55) in daily chart. %50 fib of 1.9623-2.0650 is at 2.140. So, 2.0140-2.0170 zone is a strong ...
- kiranu replied Jul 27, 2007
if you are longs, be carefull guys. if we close under 2.0300, it will show us a false break of ending diagonal and after break of rising channel down we can see 1.85 in the medium term. US economy is in the worst case and i think it will not be ...
- kiranu replied Jul 27, 2007
in daily chart i see a shoulder-head-shoulder formation. if it is so, we can see 1.96-1.97 then up to 2.0100.
- kiranu replied Jul 27, 2007
As I said in my previous posts, 2.0570-2.0670 range was important. A correction should be done. For now, it seems correction. Just follow fibs. %38.2 fib at 2.0260 %50 fib at 2.0136 %61.8 fib at 2.0008. At the same time rising trend pass around 2 ...
- kiranu replied Jul 18, 2007
if i were you, i would start to think to be short as pairs comes to 1.3820-30 and 2.0570. They can break here but it is not mostly possible.
- kiranu replied Jul 18, 2007
In 4H chart: MAE(13) : 2.0440 MAE(55) : 2.0300 These are the first support. We can see 2.0300 if US news support USD. Otherwise it can try 2.0570 again. If it pass , last station is 2.0670.
- kiranu replied Jul 18, 2007
01/12/2006 was the last time daily rsi above 80. After that it fell near %50 fib support. Now %50 fib near 2.0070. I say this will be just correction. Not medium term reversal.