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- AlexanderS commented Aug 11, 2011
I think it was purely a political decision by S&P. I think Obama is naive, should have pressured them before downgrade not after. Anyways its my personal opinion, he isnt fit.
- AlexanderS commented Aug 11, 2011
When you have the right to print the currency you have your debt denominated in, you have infinite credit rating. It's all politics, Obama just isnt a man from their circle, republicans are.
- AlexanderS commented Aug 11, 2011
Ha-ha-ha, but the same people were sleeping during subprime, now they downgrade, why dont they downgrade themselves.
- AlexanderS replied Jun 29, 2009
So true, market is clearly undecided on dollar direction, you could read many forecasts conflicting each other. Its gonna be either parity or 2.0 by year end...
- AlexanderS replied Jun 27, 2009
Thoughts for the upcoming week, particular scenario — I think, the upcoming week is carved in stone; not only it is the first week for the quarter and half-year periods but we also have NFP coming out on thursday (no wonder, it is the first ...
- AlexanderS replied Jun 27, 2009
Looks like a work by Picasso, LOL.
- AlexanderS replied Jun 24, 2009
IMHO today is not a day to trade E/U as we are in a very unpredictable environment, i dont think big money said their last word. Fed is today so i think its best to refrain from trading today unless you picked up E/U few days ago
- AlexanderS replied Jun 21, 2009
Head and shoulders on dailies also and we retraced to the neckline after breaking it, good point to short technically. But still i somewhat dollar bear. Oil can also push E/U and there were some explosions in Nigeria on saturday...
- AlexanderS replied Jun 21, 2009
From the semi-fundamental point of view i think E/U is bullish. If you look at what had happened two weeks ago just after NFP you would notice that at first we had a small bull run then E/U crashed. Technicaly we closed this week almost at the same ...
- AlexanderS replied Jun 13, 2009
url When you buy a currency you will use the offer price and when you sell you will use the bid price. So when you buy a currency, you pay the spread as you enter the trade but not as you exit. And when you sell a currency you don't pay the spread ...
- AlexanderS replied May 12, 2009
Yeah, shorting is not a very good idea, if unsure just dont do anything, as always unless you are hard core system trader.
- AlexanderS replied May 11, 2009
Right, exactly what i was thinking. As far as i can tell euro doesnt look convincing, especially after monday, although last friday close is very bullish. All analysts are turning bearish on sp500 since most think the momentum is getting weaker and ...
- Distortions in DJIA
Did you know that if all financials in djia would go down to 0 the index would go down by around ...
- AlexanderS replied Sep 2, 2007
I hope you didnt get the idea of me trying to destroy your system publicly, i just want to understand such methods in general and therefore present my ideas that i try to make logicaly sound, i might even throw in some maths to to generalize my ...
- AlexanderS replied Sep 2, 2007
I did not say that. If you read carefuly i was discussing the entry system on its own, without the martingale build up. Later in the post however i added martingale for that 1 imaginary loosing trade in a 100.
- AlexanderS replied Sep 1, 2007
Marty system — I would to start with the following anecdote: Two man were called: a statistician and a physicist. All were given 100k and a task of predicting a horse that comes first in horse racing. A stastician came with a sophisticated ...
- AlexanderS replied Aug 30, 2007
Trading is all about probabilities. — That is true, however what we deal with in trading is with non predictive probabilites i.e. unlike in coin tossing situation we cant never know the probabilities.
- AlexanderS replied Aug 30, 2007
Ok, fair enough, let me play devil's advocate if you dont mind.
- AlexanderS replied Aug 30, 2007
martingale... — I thought the only money management system that should be traded on a situation with a positive expectaion is anti martingale ones. You are just waiting for small probability event to blow your account. Several such events in a ...
- AlexanderS replied Aug 19, 2007
Thanks for the info, what machine learning methods are you using?