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- 31 Results (28 Replies , 3 Comments )
- samgribbles replied Sep 16, 2015
Ha. For the record I'm in the hike camp. Still grappling with whether I close AUD and NZD shorts before the call...
- samgribbles replied Sep 14, 2015
Very small reaction to AUD. Must have been priced in. Interesting to see NZD also spike??
- samgribbles replied Sep 14, 2015
No. When I say rally, I mean short term. Markets will sort out the AUD by Thursday. Turnbull impact may be to minimise impact of forthcoming recession compared to Abbot at the wheel
- samgribbles replied Sep 14, 2015
Yes. Spill vote at 2115 SYD time. If Turnbull gets in, expect an AUD rally as he is deemed to be more pro-business and economically astute
- samgribbles replied Jul 10, 2015
Thank you
- samgribbles replied Jul 10, 2015
Source pls?
- samgribbles replied Jul 9, 2015
You are of the view that market makers drove the EU up to take out stop-losses of shorters?
- samgribbles replied Jul 8, 2015
All, I am curious. I havent seen much discussion on the thread about the ECB supporting the Euro on these drops. I note the filling of the gap on both of the last Mondays, and struggle to explain it other than wondering if it is ECB intervention? ...
- samgribbles replied Jul 8, 2015
I think the risk is the speech that will accompany these minutes, not so much the now outdated minutes And the Yellen speech on Saturday. Any hint of also taking into account USD strength when considering a rate hike, and higher yielding currencies ...
- samgribbles replied Jul 7, 2015
good post
- samgribbles commented Jul 7, 2015
read global economics books
- samgribbles replied Jul 7, 2015
Davit sounds like youre inclined to think no US rate rise this year? Which would lend to AUD bullishness. Offsetting is deterioration in AUD terms of trade outlook (coal, iron ore price outlook poor). On balance, do you tend to be bullish or bearish ...
- samgribbles replied Jul 6, 2015
Curious: was this entry based solely on low of six hours ago, without regard to shorter timeframe price action analysis?
- samgribbles replied Jul 3, 2015
poetry on forexfactory?! nice one....
- samgribbles replied Jul 2, 2015
Completely agree. Further deteriorating outlook for terms of trade, domestic economy not firing, expectations on US and AU interest rates - all point down for AUD. Re charting, pretty strong support zone approx. 75.5-76.5. I think the likelihood of ...
- samgribbles replied Jul 2, 2015
good post
- samgribbles replied Jun 29, 2015
Fair go, Anil's view was of 24 June, pre Greece leaving the negotiating table. I'm sure he adjusts his view with changes in news and price action
- samgribbles commented Feb 4, 2015
Struggle to understand how, with sufficient time to digest news of such an insignificant relaxation to reserve requirements, some markets (stock, FX) have not returned to the pre-news level?
- samgribbles replied Jan 28, 2015
There are not enough indicators (CPI, unemployment, etc) lining up to support another rate cut. Still top of the RBA's wish list is a lower AUD, and that is happening now without a rate cut, so why cut? My view is the RBA will talk the AUD down ...
- samgribbles replied Jan 27, 2015
Sorry Ken, too cryptic for me without a coffee? Thanks for the EUR/AU chart. I also longed EUR/AUD at 1.4217. Are you also long, or did you capture the short?