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- Bluedolphin replied Mar 27, 2014
Hi Brinks, sure, your theory could be just as true - as we all know by now, market reactions can go both ways depending on what aspect the majority view happens to focus on: ECB QE or (one step further) SNB reaction to QE? My main point however is ...
EUR/CHF
- Bluedolphin replied Mar 27, 2014
Not the Ukraine this time, but it's BUBA-Chief Weidmann's fault: Apparently he for the first time publicly mentioned large-scale bond purchases by the ECB as an acceptable response to deflation threats. Coming only 10 days before the next ECB rate ...
EUR/CHF
- Bluedolphin replied Feb 27, 2014
So who is interested in keeping Eur/Chf down? The SNB? To scare the bulls away? Why should they? The lower they push the price, the more new bulls will appear and cling to the pair. Only once the price is at a safe distance from 1.20, then it ...
EUR/CHF
- Bluedolphin replied Feb 16, 2014
Hi CHFtrader, to be honest, I don't think the SNB gives a sh.. about our positioning as retail traders. While the SNB is too big to fail, we are just too small to matter. We are talking hundreds of billions here, and when you start translating that ...
EUR/CHF
- Bluedolphin replied Feb 16, 2014
Thanks for your explanations c3p0. Personally, I don't pay much attention to waves and charts, perhaps because I don't know any better, but also because I have never been able to draw anything halfway reliable from them. It's like statistics: ...
EUR/CHF
- Bluedolphin replied Feb 16, 2014
Hi, c3p0. Thanks for your feedback. Unfortunately charts are not my strong point - can you explain?
EUR/CHF
- Bluedolphin replied Feb 16, 2014
Ok, so what is needed for a substantial upward move in EUR/CHF? If I remember well the strong appreciation of CHF in 2011 was not as much a result of foreign money seeking a safe haven, but of Swiss investors dumping their USD and EUR investments ...
EUR/CHF
- Bluedolphin replied Feb 10, 2014
Hmm, doesn't seem to be happening. This is really weird - whatever happens, it seems to be CHF-positive. No matter how EUR, USD and JPY develop, no matter whether the Swiss open or close their borders, no matter whether the Fed tapers or not, not ...
EUR/CHF
- Bluedolphin replied Feb 9, 2014
The Swiss just voted in favor of an initiative restricting immigration from the EU. The government and business circles have warned that this outcome could have serious (negative) economic consequences for Switzerland. In my view, this vote and the ...
EUR/CHF
- Bluedolphin replied Aug 19, 2013
Alright, here's my 2 cents on what I expect to happen: Range trading between 2275 and 2425 until September. The ECB won't change rates on 5th but will be more upbeat at the press conference concerning economic outlook (EZ recession is officially ...
EUR/CHF
- Bluedolphin replied Aug 15, 2013
No giving up there, brinks, just a couple of short term bulls and technical traders taking profit. Don't foprget: It's never gonna go to 1.30 in a straight line, but you'll always see that pattern of spike - profit taking - consolidation - next ...
EUR/CHF
- Bluedolphin replied Jul 23, 2013
Hello-o! Anyone out there? All on vacation? What are our next milestones and risk events over the summer? I guess ECB-rate decisions and FOMC-meetings are the obvious ones. And then September could become pretty wild, with lots of expectations as to ...
EUR/CHF
- Bluedolphin replied Jul 17, 2013
I agree, but I think that the SNB would first wait and evaluate the consequences of any ECB surprise action for EUR/CHF. If it results in renewed pressure on the 1.20 cap, requiring the SNB to intervene on a constant basis, then we are likely to see ...
EUR/CHF
- Bluedolphin replied Jul 9, 2013
Holmes, man, don't worry, we are all here with you, folks just don't talk easily while holding their breath ;o) Let's try not to make any funny mistakes now, no early TP just to watch as the pair takes off without us, but also no unrealistic ...
EUR/CHF
- Bluedolphin replied Jul 4, 2013
Like Swissie, I do not expect the SNB to act to trigger any move. They may slightly adapt their public statements and use moderate and careful verbal intervention (as we have seen, Jordan seems to have become more open to influencing market ...
EUR/CHF
- Bluedolphin replied Jul 3, 2013
I agree with brinks. The Swiss are very pragmatic and conservative. They won't change a policy that works and take adventurous risks just for the sake of accelerating CHF devaluation when they are not hard pressed to do so. Look at how they are ...
EUR/CHF
- Bluedolphin replied Jun 27, 2013
Hi Simon, it's UBS: http://blogs.wsj.com/moneybeat/2013/06/27/mighty-swiss-franc-could-be-losing-a-key-support/
EUR/CHF
- Bluedolphin replied Jun 19, 2013
Alright man, no offence taken, and you certainly got it right (again!), so you definitely ARE the guru here. But don't you think the recent Swiss parliament vote changed the current market condition? Are we still trading a 1.2290/1.236* window for ...
EUR/CHF
- Bluedolphin replied Jun 18, 2013
Ok, this must be it: "Swiss lower house refuses to debate draft law on US tax agreement" (found on forexlive). But no idea really why this should give the CHF a boost. Isn't this a risk factor for the Swiss economy?
EUR/CHF