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- bvbfan replied Jul 12, 2008
No posts in over a month despite hitting new post float highs. Could be gearing up for final push towards parity on back of cpi numbers
Aussie Pairs
- bvbfan replied Jun 3, 2008
I wouldn't be shocked to see a GDP number around 0.1% or lower. Forecasts are around 0.3% That could be an entry point but USD looks to be rallying now and equity jitters might see somemore carry related selling
Aussie Pairs
- bvbfan replied May 17, 2008
The only data bullish for AUD lately is the CPI figures, everything else other than a blip in retail sales is down. Of course the rise in commodities is helping drag the Aussie up and while I'm a commodity bull, right now I'm worried about the ...
Aussie Pairs
- bvbfan replied May 11, 2008
Some key events this week in Australia. Could have impact on AUD and the attempt at parity (which I still think is a chance) Tuesday the National Budget is delivered, expecting a surplus around 19Billion Some cut backs to spending to ease inflation ...
Aussie Pairs
- bvbfan replied Mar 12, 2008
Consumer sentiment was shocking, I'm surprized AUD has held these levels all day actually. Employment numbers tomorrow may set of the selling as expectations of future interest rate drop. Might be time to sell the pop if they come in higher than ...
Aussie Pairs
- bvbfan replied Feb 28, 2008
I'm surprized that AUD has kept rising despite the Yen dropping to test 105. All other times the AUD has retraced and allowed good entries but not this time. Seems much of the AJ carry trades have now been set on AUDUSD. Agree a pull back is due, ...
Aussie Pairs
- bvbfan replied Jan 30, 2008
Well it just got there, took profits on all positions at .9000 and .9014 Didn't expect the pullback to be so fast and have taken a small position at av .8928 for the RBA decision next week. I think they are unlikely to go this time around but the ...
Aussie Pairs
- bvbfan replied Jan 10, 2008
My target for the breakout of the triangle was 890 and hit that in Asian/European trading yesterday. I think gold needs a breather and wouldn't surprize to see a healthy sell off as new investors pile in. I've been bullish gold since $270 so I've ...
Aussie Pairs
- bvbfan replied Jan 7, 2008
With the local banks raising rates ahead of the RBA it may stall a 2nd rise later in the year but I think there is one coming in February. Also with the rises will that flow into rent rises which were a large contributor to the CPI rises in the last ...
Aussie Pairs
- bvbfan replied Dec 21, 2007
Australian Treasury forecasts have upgraded inflation expectations for next year much higher. RBA still seems confident that inflation will moderate. I don't know. Here's an article I found in local media, which could just be a beat up. I'm still ...
Aussie Pairs
- bvbfan replied Nov 26, 2007
I don't trade the AUDEUR but I think fundamentally that AUD rates are still heading up while EUR rates have likely topped out and most likely will be cut in the next few months. IMO AUDEUR would be heading back to 0.65 (EURAUD ~1.54) The concern is ...
Aussie Election Effect on EUR/AUD?
- bvbfan replied Nov 14, 2007
EuroYen has had a better correlation to equities markets than AUDUSD If you want that let me know. PS good to see you on here too
Aussie Pairs
- bvbfan replied Oct 15, 2007
Government has announced a $34billion tax cut program which given Australias terrible savings history (read negative savings rate) will surely lead to higher consumer spending and further interest rate rises. Will it be enough to get the government ...
Aussie Pairs
- bvbfan replied Sep 6, 2007
Its not unfeasable to have AUDUSD at 88-90c and AUDJPY at 100. This would put Yen at around 112. Fundamentally the tightening bias is going to stay for Aussie for sometime yet
Aussie Pairs
- bvbfan replied Aug 17, 2007
Its purely a flight from risk Carry trades were generating about 6% return per annum but the recent yen moves have eroded that in a week Technically could go either way but from a fundamental point of view the interest rate differential will see the ...
Aussie Pairs
- bvbfan replied May 6, 2007
Yes just short term bearish on commodities, expecting a correction in China which could/should flow into some of the commodities. Unfortunately I got bearish a few weeks to early and missed quite a rally on my major (stock) holdings. The only upside ...
Aussie Pairs
- bvbfan replied May 4, 2007
7.30pm Tuesday night Aussie time, so early Tuesday for you in the US we have the Aussie budget handed down by the Treasurer. Few are expecting tax cuts which would probably lead the RBA to raise rates later this year, currently all rate rises seem ...
Aussie Pairs
- Posts by Member Search: 'bvbfan'