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- peter lee replied Mar 10, 2010
trying to help — "From 1999-2009- EUR/USD moved up from 0.88 to 1.60- almost double. Can we expect 2009-2019, EUR/USD moving from 1.60-3.20- Double " iI believe one should look at fundamental of both Europe and USA if one want to do a ...
- peter lee replied Mar 1, 2010
1. If the big boys are putting on a position in line with the long term trend as you say, then WHO decides what the long term trend will be? this is a tough question; probably, the central banks 2. What usually happens just before the start of a ...
- peter lee replied Feb 28, 2010
just a few more sentences before taking a break — ". Yes, if they get things wrong. But think about how/when they have to put on their positions and try again." usually, big boys put on a position in line with long term trend but they do it ...
- peter lee replied Feb 28, 2010
hello , hope everyone have a good weekend — Based on what we know so far: 1. What advantages do the big boys have? big boys - can afford to lose a lot or stomach large loss - have faster access (maybe few mins ahead) to news released - can ...
- peter lee replied Feb 25, 2010
Razorjack's explanation is the still best. thank you.
- peter lee replied Feb 24, 2010
If U.S dollar will be bought ( in line with rise in % rate)...and/or JPY sold...then we would see the U.S equities FALL in price...as risk is averted and U.S dollars are bought. (equities sold??) currently, we are still in the bull run stage but at ...
- peter lee replied Feb 24, 2010
i am trying to answer this - it may be incomplete — The next leg of the bull run in what?...U.S equities?..commodities? We get the "selling of JPY" in Carry trade "if/when" U.S raises rates ( which many believe may not happen til mid ...
- peter lee replied Feb 22, 2010
A spike in forex graph can be caused by: e.g. an investment house has intention to long 500 million GBP/USD but market price is not low enough. this investment house shorts 500 million GBP/USD via bank-A . this bank-A may shorts 700 million GBP/USD ...
- peter lee replied Feb 19, 2010
quest for deeper understanding — 1. sorry for mis-phrasing question 2. " what is the trend of EUR int rate ? " can you comment on this ? the current scenario is as follows: EUR yield will probably stay put or lag US yield because EUR economy ...
- peter lee replied Feb 18, 2010
hello — last night action shows fundamental matters. with the trend of US int rate up and with current EUR problem, it seems that EUR/USD is on downtrend for medium term 1. is there a way to judge whether the EUR problem has been discounted by ...
- peter lee replied Feb 12, 2010
i agreed with Razorjack — I agreed that the "odds are in favor of the short term trend lining up with medium term trend". by the way, based on the COT report for EUR/USD futures and options, it seems that the large spectator is heavily short . ...
- peter lee replied Feb 11, 2010
Master or Si fu — Dear Razorjack , i appreciate your contribution. you are always needed. I have not learnt how to incorporate the fundamental and sentiment of market in trading yet. Do not know when to buy and what price to buy. have a good ...
- peter lee replied Feb 11, 2010
if i can remember, China has restricted loan to property related areas. thus, there will be less demand for commodities e.g. iron , oil , etc AUD and CAD will drop fyi, EUR/USD has dropped. a news was released a while ago - European leaders ordered ...
- peter lee replied Feb 9, 2010
risk aversion and risk appetite — Dear Razorjack, I also agreed with medium term and long term style of trading. can i assume you favor risk aversion in medium term at moment? i am curious to know when you will favor risk appetite. thank you
- peter lee replied Feb 9, 2010
live prices — Hello, everyone. does anyone know the website to view live price or yield of 2yrs bund, long gilt and US T-bond? thank you
- peter lee replied Feb 9, 2010
turning point — Dear All , how we can determine when the turning point from risk aversion to risk appetite or when the correction is coming to an end? for the past one week , I have not seen any major news. is it based on price action ? have a ...
- peter lee replied Feb 6, 2010
how to analyse COT report ? — Dear Razor , may i know what you look for in the commitment of trader report? is it you look at the position of commerical ? i.e. when its position reaches near extreme level and turns, mkt will change direction ...
- peter lee replied Feb 4, 2010
query — may i know your view on Trading using Planetary Cycles or lunar cycles ? thank you
- peter lee replied Feb 2, 2010
thank you for your comment — 1. having seen more discussion posted, i think it is AUD/JPY has potential to outperform other ccys. 2. I have 2 questions; (i) do market differeniate inflation-related and growth-related econ data ? (ii) do you ...
- peter lee replied Feb 1, 2010
thank you for the feedback — sorry. i have the sequence of the 3 events mixed up. based on your described scenario, since US economy will pick up, commodities price will go up, equity will go up too. this means eur/usd, gbpusd, aud/usd will go ...