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Recent comments from a number of MPC members have hinted that a cut in Bank Rate might not be too far away and possibly rather sooner than financial markets currently expect. However, apart from the leading dove, Swati Dhingra, most policymakers ...
While the BoE is widely seen lowering interest rates over coming months, there is a clear consensus expecting Thursday’s policy announcement to leave Bank Rate at 5.25 percent, the level to which it was raised back in August 2023. Despite its ...
In line with the October meeting, investors are confident that this Thursday’s ECB announcement will leave key interest rates on hold. Indeed, further warning signs of an impending Eurozone recession together with a surprisingly steep fall in ...
Despite there being a clear MPC split on interest rates in September, further signs that inflation has probably peaked and, more generally, dismal real economy news have left forecasters seemingly fairly confident that the BoE will leave Bank Rate ...
Investors were split over the likelihood of further tightening ahead of the ECB’s September meeting but there is a much broader consensus in favour of no change going into this Thursday’s announcement. Last month’s decision was clearly far from ...
Having previously delivered a 50 basis point hike at the March Monetary Policy Assessment (MPA), the SNB is widely expected to raise its policy rate again on Thursday. The last change lifted the benchmark rate to 1.50 percent, its fourth successive ...
Almost without exception, official comments since the May policy meeting have indicated that Governing Council (GC) members think key interest rates need to be higher if inflation is to be brought back under control. This clear bias has left ...
At one point it seemed that the economic and political chaos prompted by the Truss government’s mini-budget in September would completely upend the BoE’s plans for monetary policy. However, the subsequent succession of fiscal policy U-turns and, ...
Financial markets are convinced that Thursday’s ECB announcement will include another sizeable increase in key interest rates. In line with the last move in September, the only uncertainty is about the magnitude. The consensus is for another ...
Financial markets have become very used to the BoE MPC raising Bank Rate. It has done so at every policy-setting meeting since it began the current tightening cycle last December and expectations are that Thursday’s announcement will make it seven ...
The SNB’s unexpectedly large 50 basis point hike in its benchmark rate to minus 0.25 percent in June was widely seen as indicative of a major shift in policy and proof of the central bank’s desire to get interest rates back into positive territory. ...
Having been surprised by the magnitude of the interest rate hike in July, the majority of investors now believe that the ECB is set on front-end loading its tightening policy as it tries to bring inflation back under control. Forward guidance went ...
Pressure on the BoE MPC to step up the pace of its monetary tightening has been building quite steadily since its last meeting in June. Five successive 25 basis point hikes have lifted Bank Rate to 1.25 percent but actual inflation continues to ...
The long-awaited first interest rate hike of the ECB’s new policy cycle should be delivered on Thursday. The June statement indicated that the central bank was planning to lift official rates by 25 basis points at its July meeting and to follow that ...
Another BoE MPC announcement, another hike in interest rates. Having already raised Bank Rate at each of the last four meetings, financial markets seem convinced that Thursday’s statement will make it five out of five, making it the steepest ...
Testing how far the SNB is prepared to let the Swiss franc appreciate has been a familiar characteristic of the FX market ever since the central bank abandoned its CHF1.20 target floor against the euro back in January 2015. The monetary authority’s ...
At long last, it looks as if the ECB’s hawks are about to get their way. Thursday’s policy announcement is widely expected to pave the way for the first hike in the central bank’s key interest rates since July 2011. However, while a move as soon as ...
Despite some surprisingly dovish rhetoric from the BoE in March financial markets expect May’s MPC meeting to deliver a fourth successive increase in Bank Rate. If correct, the consensus call for a 25 basis point hike would see the benchmark rate ...
The surprisingly hawkish (but hardly aggressive) recalibration of policy announced at the ECB’s March meeting was supposed to reassure investors that the central bank was fully aware that inflation was too high and that it was willing to act. ...
The crisis in Ukraine has reinforced the Swiss franc’s status as the leading safe haven currency in Europe and left the SNB facing an even harder task as it tries to stabilise its currency. The CHF has been a principal beneficiary of capital inflows ...