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- abobtrader replied Oct 22, 2006
It may be a case of using statistics for support rather than illumination, but here are Danske's PPP estimates for CAD (overvalued) and JPY (undervalued). Another lesson from these charts is that deviations from PPP (a long-term fundamental fair ...
- abobtrader replied Oct 22, 2006
Looking at the latest IMM speculative positions (released Friday night), two things stand out: * Firstly, we can see that speculators last week switched to a pretty large CAD short position (see chart below), taking the net balance to -24,498. This ...
- abobtrader replied Oct 15, 2006
Interesting USD developments — Barron's resident perma-bear, Mr Alan Abelson, says: "We're in the midst of one of those aberrational stock markets that treats everything that happens as bullish.Good news, such as the revised employment data, ...
- abobtrader replied Oct 9, 2006
Krayzee North Koreans — Korea has tested a nuclear device....Sell Asia! Sell asian equities! Sell their currencies! Buy gold! buy oil! Quick, quick, quick! Actually hold on a moment. In terms of the spillover to other countries, the economic ...
- abobtrader replied Oct 8, 2006
It's quite old (2001) but I highly recommend this 5th Edition of the Goldman Sachs Guide to US Economic Statistics. It starts with a primer on seasonal adjustments and a piece looking at which data has the greatest impact on financial asset prices ...
- abobtrader replied Oct 4, 2006
That's so true. The ADP is a relatively new in that is has only been started being made public in recent months, but there is a good backlog of data against which to compare. While the correlation is good (90%), the magnitude prediction is weak - ...
- abobtrader replied Sep 29, 2006
Making sense of the bigger picture — When I trade currencies from a global macro perspective I find it useful to draw on the signals sent out by the other financial markets. Recent moves seem to have some observers scratching their heads a ...
- abobtrader replied Sep 28, 2006
WELLINGTON, Sept 29 (Reuters) - New Zealand's economy grew 0.5 percent in the second quarter on a seasonally adjusted basis, according to official data on Friday. Economists polled by Reuters had a median forecast for seasonally adjusted production ...
- abobtrader replied Sep 27, 2006
Here is the EUR/GBP to accompany the above two charts:
- abobtrader replied Sep 27, 2006
Correlation observation for newbies — I have just pasted the charts below to highlight a simple but important point. EUR/USD and GBP/USD have a strong correlation (it is usually a case of EUR/USD driving GBP/USD rather than the other way ...
- abobtrader replied Sep 25, 2006
Here is the quick analysis from HSBC on the data. I like it where they say we would be 'weary of such analysis'. Freudian slip perhaps...I wonder if the analyst is tired!
- Posts by Member Search: 'abobtrader'