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ING’s UK election cheat-sheet
The polls will shortly open in the UK’s crunch election, and the final polling suggests it’s still all to play for. YouGov’s closely watched MRP election model this week pointed to a Conservative majority of 28, down noticeably from 68 just two weeks ago. Markets are primed for that outcome, but small shifts in voter behaviour could yet result in another hung Parliament. Turnout is always a big unknown, and the YouGov model showed that a number of the seats projected to be won by the Conservatives would be tight (likewise many of those held by Labour). Whatever happens, it’s going to be a fascinating night. ... (full story)