-
The Federal Reserve Can Conquer the Yield Curve
Can the Federal Reserve end the U.S. Treasury market yield curve’s track record for predicting recessions? If so, market participants using the gap between short- and long term bond rates to gauge the economic cycle might be overestimating the probability of recession. I have long been a fan of the yield curve as one tool to track the economy, and it is sending unwelcome signals this year. Yields on 10-year notes fell below those on two-year notes on Wednesday for the first time since 2007. Another portion of the yield curve, the spread between three-month bill rates and 10-year yields, which is the favored ... (full story)
- Comments
- Subscribe
- Comment #1
- Quote
- Aug 16, 2019 9:35am Aug 16, 2019 9:35am
- Rakeem
- | Joined Nov 2018 | Status: Member | 399 Comments
- Comment #2
- Quote
- Aug 16, 2019 10:18am Aug 16, 2019 10:18am
- Faucon
- | Joined Jan 2012 | Status: Member | 175 Comments
- Comment #3
- Quote
- Aug 16, 2019 10:40am Aug 16, 2019 10:40am
- Maxthetrader
- | Joined May 2019 | Status: Member | 638 Comments
- Comment #4
- Quote
- Aug 16, 2019 10:50pm Aug 16, 2019 10:50pm
- AnniLi
- | Commercial Member | Joined Jan 2015 | 2212 Comments