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Historical Volatility: A Timeline of the Biggest Volatility Cycles
The continuity seen across these volatility cycles is a good thing, because while it doesn’t necessarily make a major volatility spike highly predictable, historical precedence offer a blueprint for identifying conditions that are supportive for a potential vol-event to occur, and how they are likely to unfold once in motion. This can be of great help in guiding trading decisions, whether that is to steer clear of a potential vol blow-up or move towards it with the appropriate strategy that can take advantage of the outsized price swings that come with unusual levels of volatility. We will first discuss what a ... (full story)