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Is Turkey a Canary in the Emerging Market Coal Mine?
Are External Debt Problems in Developing Economies Systemic? Turkish assets have been hammered over the past few days due largely to concerns about the amount of Turkey’s foreign currency-denominated debt, and fear of “contagion” has led to selling pressure on other emerging market (EM) assets more broadly. Are other EM economies vulnerable to an external debt crisis à la Turkey? Is Turkey the canary in the EM coal mine like Thailand was in 1997? In this report, we update an analysis that we did last year.1 Yes, the external debt of a sample of 19 large developing economies (less China) has swelled from less ... (full story)
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