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Goldman: Something strange is happening with the US economy that could cause interest rates to jump
America's budget deficit and unemployment rate are heading in opposite directions — something that's never happened during post-World War II peacetime and could cause a significant jump in interest rates. Goldman Sachs projects, for instance, that the 10-year Treasury note could be yielding 3.6 percent next year. The deficit increase is coming due to the recent barrage of fiscal stimulus from Congress, including a $1.5 trillion tax cut approved in December 2017 and a $1.3 trillion spending bill aimed at keeping the government operating through the end of the fiscal year. Normally such moves would come in the early ... (full story)
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