USD/NOK

Two securities firms have published diverging but broadly cautious assessments of the Federal Reserve's policy path following the June meeting, with one placing near-even odds on a December rate hike and the other holding a no-move call for 2026 while flagging rising hike risk into next year. Both analyses centre on the same set of facts. The Fed left its ...

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As widely expected, the FOMC kept the target range for the federal funds rate unchanged at 3.50- 3.75% and dropped its easing bias. However, this decision was announced in an unusually short statement. The decision was unanimous, with Miran – who repeatedly dissented because he wanted to cut – was replaced by Warsh. The press conference was a clear break ...

While it will be difficult to separate intent from unintended consequences perhaps to be revisited in subsequent communications, Kevin Warsh’s grand entrance drove the bond market to rebel, pushed stocks lower and drove a stronger dollar. Gone is the steady hand on the tiller that avoids game day surprises. Either a deliberately new hawkish and more ...

The Federal Reserve and Chairman Kevin Warsh on Wednesday followed the script on interest rates closely, voting to keep the benchmark level steady, but dropped several surprises that kept markets guessing about where things are heading. Markets didn’t like it, with major averages swooning after the meeting and as Warsh spoke in his news conference. Here are ...

The Federal Reserve's latest "dot plot," outlining policymakers' interest rate projections, revealed a sharp shift in central bankers' expectations. Not only are rate cuts almost surely off the table for the rest of the year, but there is also a sharply higher chance of a hike before the end of 2026. Nine policymakers who participated in the exercise ...

*TRUMP ON FED: ALRIGHT THAT THEY HELD RATES, WHATEVER *TRUMP ON FED RAISING RATES POSSIBLY: IT COULD HAPPEN

Fed's Chair Warsh: I don't believe we have a cruel choice between full employment and stable prices. FED'S WARSH SAYS MORE WORK IS NEEDED ON PRICE STABILITY BUT ALL 19 FOMC MEMBERS AGREED NO TIGHTENING WAS NEEDED TODAY. Fed's Chair Warsh: My read of what I heard in the room, reflected in projections, was that half of colleagues felt rates should be lower and half should be higher. Fed's Chair Warsh: A new communication framework by the year-end wouldn't surprise.

Fed's Chair Warsh: Fed can't have a significant effect on particular prices FED'S WARSH WARNS FED MUST ENSURE PRICE MOVES IN OIL, EGGS AND BEEF DO NOT BROADEN INTO WIDER ECONOMIC INFLATION. WARSH DECLINES TO COMMENT ON ANY INTERACTIONS WITH TRUMP SINCE CONFIRMATION Fed's Chair Warsh: The committee discussed productivity today, AI came up. AI is filled with a huge opportunity and risks. *WARSH: I DO SEE SOME RESTRICTIVENESS IN THINGS LIKE HOUSING *WARSH: HARD TO USE THOSE SAME WORDS ANYWHERE ELSE