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President Donald Trump has decided not to extend the USMCA trade agreement and will instead pursue independent trade deals with Canada and Mexico, FOX Business has learned. Wednesday marked the deadline for the six-year review, and a Trump administration official told FOX Business that the president opted against extending the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement ...
New Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh said Wednesday that the central bank would remain independent and seek to bring down inflation, likely foreclosing the rate cuts President Donald Trump has sought. In remarks at a central bank conference in Sintra, Portugal, Warsh said that if businesses or households thought the Fed would accept inflation above 2%, “I ...
US private employers brought on 98,000 jobs in June, payroll processor ADP said Wednesday, missing expectations. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg had predicted a gain of 120,000 positions, roughly on par with May's increase. About half of June's growth was concentrated in education and health services, according to ADP data, while the financial activities ...
Economic activity in the manufacturing sector expanded in June for the sixth consecutive month, say the nation's supply executives in the latest ISM® Manufacturing PMI® Report. The report was issued today by Susan Spence, MBA, Chair of the Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) Manufacturing Business Survey Committee. "The Manufacturing PMI® registered ...
WARSH: HAVE NOT CHANGED VIEW ON BALANCE SHEET IN FIRST FOUR WEEKS AT FED Fed's Warsh: It's no secret I wanted the Fed's balance sheet to be smaller. Fed's Warsh: Fed will remain independent after the Supreme Court.
The performance of the US manufacturing economy improved again in June, though the pace of growth eased to a three-month low. Both output and new orders rose at slower, but still historically elevated, rates. Growth was commonly linked to new product launches, alongside some reports of pre-orders placed to protect against rising prices. Higher raw material ...
FED'S WARSH: WILL LIKELY HAVE NEWS NEXT WEEK ON LEADERS OF TASK FORCES FED'S WARSH: WILL ASK BEST MINDS FROM INSIDE AND OUTSIDE THE U.S. Fed's Chair Warsh: The Fed stands for staying in its lane on monetary policy. Fed's Chair Warsh: Have been focused on monetary policy in the first four weeks. Fed's Chair Warsh on Productivity: If the last 4 quarters are an indication, there is reason to be optimistic. WARSH: FORWARD GUIDANCE NOT RIGHT POLICY FOR CURRENT MOMENT
Fed's Chair Warsh: We're in the price stability business. FED'S WARSH: LABOR MARKETS ARE STEADY || SUPPLY SIDE SOLID FED'S WARSH: INFLATION RISKS HAVE COME DOWN FED'S WARSH: WE'LL BE AN INDEPENDENT CENTRAL BANK FED'S WARSH: NO CHANGES IN INDEPENDENCE Fed's Chair Warsh: If models are an obstacle to good policy, get rid of them.
Fed's Chair Warsh: Expanded supply would have huge implications for policy. Fed's Chair Warsh: The US not afraid of productivity-led economic growth. *WARSH: SERIOUS QUESTION OVER TIMING OF AI IMPACT ON JOBS WARSH SAYS HAVE TO DELIVER BOTH ON EMPLOYMENT AND STABLE PRICES
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TimmyBTrades replied 6 hr agoWith ADP and ISM in we can finalize the forecast for tomorrow's NFP print: 106k Model has persistent ~20k bias above actual, true value may be closer to ~80k ...
NFP Projection Logs (and Other Misc) -
Forgediron replied 10 hr agoGoing out on a limb here, but as we ever slowly move towards this resistance, I wonder if tomorrows nfp will be bad for the USD, causing a knee jerk reaction into this resistance, ...
Forgediron -
Uncle-FX replied 10 hr agoand its not even US yet... the market is your ATM... I wanna be like you when i grow up
,, cheers man 
"AUSSI" my thread and anything I want to put here -
HFMarkets replied 11 hr agoDate: 1st July 2026. Strong Jobs Data Supports Fed Outlook as Yen Shows Oversold Signals. image The US Dollar declines despite the US JOLTS Job Vacancies beating expectations ...
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