Legend
- High Impact Expected
- Med Impact Expected
- Low Impact Expected
- Non-Economic
Revision
- Green NumberBetter than forecast -or- revised better
- Red NumberWorse than forecast -or- revised worse
- m/mMonth Over Month
- q/qQuarter Over Quarter
- y/yYear Over Year
- K Thousand
- M Million
- B Billion
- T Trillion
UK Claimant Count Change
Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions. Unemployment is also a major consideration for those steering the country's monetary policy;
It's the first indication of the employment situation, released a month earlier than the Unemployment Rate. Source changed series calculation formula as of Jun 2015;
- UK Claimant Count Change Graph
- History
| Expected Impact / Date | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2026 | 31.2K | 25.8K |
8.3K |
| May 19, 2026 | 26.5K | 23.1K |
4.9K |
| Apr 21, 2026 | 26.8K | 22.6K |
17.1K |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 24.7K | 25.8K |
4.7K |
| Feb 17, 2026 | 28.6K | 22.8K |
2.7K |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 17.9K | 15.6K |
-3.3K |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 20.1K | 21.6K |
-3.9K |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 29.0K | 17.6K |
0.4K |
-
- UK Claimant Count Change News
From think.ing.com|Jun 18, 2026On the face of it, the latest UK jobs report doesn’t look so bad. The unemployment rate ticked down to 4.9%. Payrolled employment rose after three consecutive monthly declines (it increased by a marginal 2,000 workers). Average weekly earnings growth was higher than expected. But the details still look dovish for the Bank of England. And the report is another reminder that the case for higher rates is far from clear-cut. Take those payroll numbers. April’s atrocious 100,000 fall in employment has been cut in half, after revisions. ...
From ons.gov.uk|Jun 18, 2026|3 commentsEstimates for payrolled employees in the UK fell by 138,000 (0.5%) between April 2025 and April 2026, and decreased by 53,000 (0.2%) between March and April 2026. This is based on administrative data from HM Revenue and Customs (HMRC). When looking at February to April 2026, the period comparable with our Labour Force Survey (LFS) estimates, the number of payrolled employees fell by 103,000 (0.3%) over the year and by 31,000 (0.1%) over the quarter. The early estimate of payrolled employees for May 2026 decreased by 119,000 (0.4%) on ...
From think.ing.com|May 19, 2026Ouch! Taken at face value, the latest UK jobs report is bad pretty much wherever you look. Admittedly, some of it looks more like noise than signal. Take the 100,000 drop in payrolled employment. That is a big number, but one that will almost certainly get revised up. We saw something similar last May, where an initially reported 109k drop was then revised up to a much more modest -14k decline. There are plenty of similar examples in recent history. Still, backward revisions to both February and March are a reminder that the ...
From ons.gov.uk|May 19, 2026Estimates for payrolled employees in the UK fell by 104,000 (0.3%) between March 2025 and March 2026, and decreased by 28,000 (0.1%) between February and March 2026. This is based on administrative data from HM Revenue and Customs (HMRC). When looking at January to March 2026, the period comparable with our Labour Force Survey (LFS) estimates, the number of payrolled employees fell by 94,000 (0.3%) over the year and by 20,000 (0.1%) over the quarter. The early estimate of payrolled employees for April 2026 decreased by 210,000 (0.7%) ...
From forex.com|Apr 21, 2026Traders, and seemingly top policymakers, appear eager to move on from the US-Iran conflict pending progress in peace talks scheduled for tomorrow ahead of President Trump’s deadline and shift the focus back to economic data. To be sure, there may still yet be another flare-up in the Middle East, but for today, economic data is driving markets. On that front, we had two traditional economic reports of note this morning, and they paint a mixed picture for the UK economy and a resilient one for US consumers. The latest UK labor market ...
From ons.gov.uk|Apr 21, 2026|1 commentEstimates for payrolled employees in the UK fell by 74,000 (0.2%) between February 2025 and February 2026, and decreased by 6,000 (0.0%) between January and February 2026. This is based on administrative data from HM Revenue and Customs (HMRC). When looking at December 2025 to February 2026, the period comparable with our Labour Force Survey (LFS) estimates, the number of payrolled employees fell by 87,000 (0.3%) over the year and by 9,000 (0.0%) over the quarter. The early estimate of payrolled employees for March 2026 decreased by ...
From ons.gov.uk|Mar 19, 2026|1 commentEstimates for payrolled employees in the UK fell by 96,000 (0.3%) between January 2025 and January 2026, but increased by 6,000 (0.0%) between December 2025 and January 2026. This is based on administrative data from HM Revenue and Customs (HMRC). When looking at November 2025 to January 2026, the period comparable with our Labour Force Survey (LFS) estimates, the number of payrolled employees fell by 109,000 (0.4%) over the year and by 31,000 (0.1%) over the quarter. The early estimate of payrolled employees for February 2026 ...
From notayesmanseconomics.wordpress.com|Feb 17, 2026Today the focus remains on my home country the UK and we can open with a link to out subject matter of yesterday. The UK unemployment rate for people aged 16 years and over was estimated at 5.2% in October to December 2025. This is up in the latest quarter and above estimates of a year ago. The overall unemployment rate has risen again and it is making the headlines. Unemployment in the UK rose to its highest rate in nearly five years at the end of 2025, official figures show. (BBC) It will make very uncomfortable reading for the ...
| Released on Jun 18, 2026 |
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| Released on May 19, 2026 |
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| Released on Apr 21, 2026 |
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| Released on Mar 19, 2026 |
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| Released on Feb 17, 2026 |
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