I'm basically trying to understand: A) If there is volume behind this move since Mid July
B) If you know the answer, why voulme surged at $1.362 ( wasn't an option thing or what? )
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
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Disliked{quote} I was also confused at this... All he is showing is the DXY minus about 1.3 as a value. I.e the DX with a different number I don't think he quite understands the maths involved. attached is DX vs (DX-EUR) *hint, they're the same thing. {image}Ignored
Disliked{quote} If u have access to Nikon, i think they have a EURUSD voulme chart or report ( I have seen it many times, but don't know the exact terminology, because i never had access to it) I'm basically trying to understand: A) If there is volume behind this move since Mid July B) If you know the answer, why voulme surged at $1.362 ( wasn't an option thing or what? )Ignored
Disliked{quote} Ah, you are here .. The Euro has been a disaster since we last spoke 9th of July. Any interesting FX daily volume chart from your expensive terminal?! I have tried to locate any Reuters or Bloomberg's volume report, but no luck! I only found one for FXALL from Reuters reporting a surge in voulme on 11th of July. Any help would be really appreciatedIgnored
Disliked{quote} There are a few things you may be referencing... Are you looking for option volume as per the DTCC or are you looking for spot volumes? Volumes reported by citi might be more interesting to you, espeically as they are the largest FX house in the world, so their volume is the most representative. (i.e. FXall / reuters / EBS are all about 100bn per day... Citi is close to 1trillion) They have reported marginally higher volumes, but the breakdown is quite interesting. Mostly real money selling (i.e. equity outflows leading to EUR selling...Ignored
Disliked{quote} Man, you are awesome .. (The bold part is what i was thinking about few days ago, that Euro weakness is either will lead into Europe sell off or drag into a Europe sell off .. something that threaten the fragile growth momentum they are having, (( Draghi, are you listening?! )))Ignored
Disliked{quote} CME volumes, which are about the same as Fxall / EBS / reuters have not budged when looking at a 5-period moving average (to smooth out the noise of one data heavy day etc) then again, as said, CME volumes are only the US CTAs and no-one else. European names may be different. {image}Ignored
Disliked{quote} Not Bloomberg or reuters but this data comes from Interactive Data, may help you {image} {image}Ignored
Disliked{quote} No Link Vachus, I took screen shot from my independent data feed. Feed comes from Interactive Data from USA to my local platform. I export values to excel for you to see values. If you want I can upload excel it self if you want.Ignored
DislikedIn most cases, 70-80% retailers have to be wrong, for the trend to change in their favor.Ignored
Disliked70% were short on GU and fell from 7180 to 6960 75% short on NU 8830 to 8550Ignored
Disliked{quote} CME volumes, which are about the same as Fxall / EBS / reuters have not budged when looking at a 5-period moving average (to smooth out the noise of one data heavy day etc) then again, as said, CME volumes are only the US CTAs and no-one else. European names may be different. {image}Ignored
Disliked{quote} sorry, I'm a bit confused at your chart... Have you taken the ICE dollar futures and subtracted the EURUSD from it? seriously?Ignored
Disliked{quote} One last thing, if u have the time: Have u read or have any recent paper talking about the drop in US Core CPI?! wasn't the largest drop in core inflation since 2008? Wouldn't that support Yellen's argument of the higher inflation being noise ... any opinion / paper / speculation on that issue?! @Rock, Thanks i got itIgnored
Disliked{quote} Its dollar index subtracted from EURO. not euro/usd ... Obviously they trade inversely with almost -1 correlationIgnored