Probability in forex
Hi, what do you think about this:
I was tested it in broker on EUR/USD with 1pip spread like 1.5000/ 15001
Rule:
We open a position Long 1 lot or can be any other like(0.01) and when price move below 1 pips we open another position 1 lot, and when price move another time 1 pip down, we open another 1lot long and we open and open and repeat it until the price move 1pips in plus we close all posiotions.
Now we count all open LONG positions, so we can have sum of it mayby 23 in a one row.
On second demo account we open a short 1 lot and similar that when price move agains us we buy next positions SHORT and stop when the price move 1 tick/ pips in our trend(down).
So far I have a statistics like this, its for a 2pips on the plus, from 2 week's test
for LONG:
0.01 = 2946// 0.02 = 2254// 0.03 = 1629// 0.04 = 1152// 0.05 = 838// 0.06 = 599// 0.07 = 438// 0.08 = 302// 0.09 = 216// 0.10 = 151// 0.11 = 105// 0.12 = 74// 0.13 = 44// 0.14 = 30// 0.15 = 23// 0.16 = 18// 0.17 = 14// 0.18 = 6// 0.19 = 5// 0.20 = 4// 0.21 = 2// 0.22 = 1// 0.23 = 1// 0.24 = 0
for SHORT:
0.01 = 3038// 0.02 = 2289// 0.03 = 1650// 0.04 = 1194// 0.05 = 843// 0.06 = 622// 0.07 = 412// 0.08 = 274// 0.09 = 186// 0.10 = 134// 0.11 = 82// 0.12 = 60// 0.13 = 41// 0.14 = 27// 0.15 = 16// 0.16 = 11// 0.17 = 6// 0.18 = 5// 0.19 = 4// 0.20 = 1// 0.21 = 0// 0.22 = 0// 0.23 = 0// 0.24 = 0
So for Long it was a 1 series of 23 open in a row, and Short max row was 20 repeat 1, for row 19 it was repeat 4 times.
So 100% perfect signal to buy Long was 1 on 23 row, and then price move in our direction for 2 pips profit.
In the future this statistics maybe change, that whay is importante to colect data.
We can change the parameters like open every LONG when price move in bad direction on 1 pips and close all when price move in our favorite direction on +1 pips, 2, 3, 4, 5, .... 1000pips
So we have a good statistics with almost 100% probability to enter good position and get profit like 1 or 2, or 10 pips.
To a 1 or 2 pips profit we must use a martingale strategy, but 10 or 30 we can only buy at good signal.
We will have a much more signal to buy LONG/ SHORT position when we play at 1,2 profit then a 10 or 20 pips.
In 1, 2 pips profit we will have a requote and slipage, its not a problem with a 10 or 20 or 50 pips profit.
The history data its not similar to real time price, slipage, requote.
So what we need? We only count open positions.
We need a statistics from every currency pair, stock, index, option etc. on every tick data in real time like close at +1, 2, 3, 4, ...150pips to figureat out when is a great signal to take position. We need a get as much data and send it to a server, so every one can see how much the price move up, or down to long and sell signals.
It will be good when someone develope this - sory i dont know how.
Why data from meany useres - to get a full statistics and knowlege how it works exactly on every close + 1, 2, 3, ...
every broker, every currency pair, stock, every spread, every users, every trading platform that can be programete like mt4, oanda etc.
In the future we will se what the statistics is telling to us, when buy and when close
On mt5 the price is close quicker then MT4, check it yoursel.
EA to show you what i have on the mind:
MT4/MT5 - platform
D - demo for statistics
L/S - Long Short
L=const/ L+1 - lot constans or increse 1 then 2 then 3 4 5 ...
I was test it for a broker admiral markets mt4/mt5
External link www wrzuc.to/OAZ4CXTd.wt
So what do u think about this, and yea i know my english hehe
Dam, im not a rookie, dont know why moderator move this thread here. I have 4 yr experiens on trade future, stocks, bond, option and index, i was testing meny strategy and indicators, yea i know so what? So that when we even have a good filing to a price move down and we have a short position open, the price on tick is moving sometime -5, -10 pips and then in our direction. So when it fall down even 60 pips on the h1 chart, on the tick data price move it like max 23 in a row(not tick/pips, but open position LONG) and then climb up for min 2pip. and then still fal down for a 13in a row and climb up for 2pips. When i start to counting thos repeating, was wandering if we all have the same statistics. Yes I was testing this on a real account and earn some money with +2pips close.
Hi, what do you think about this:
I was tested it in broker on EUR/USD with 1pip spread like 1.5000/ 15001
Rule:
We open a position Long 1 lot or can be any other like(0.01) and when price move below 1 pips we open another position 1 lot, and when price move another time 1 pip down, we open another 1lot long and we open and open and repeat it until the price move 1pips in plus we close all posiotions.
Now we count all open LONG positions, so we can have sum of it mayby 23 in a one row.
On second demo account we open a short 1 lot and similar that when price move agains us we buy next positions SHORT and stop when the price move 1 tick/ pips in our trend(down).
So far I have a statistics like this, its for a 2pips on the plus, from 2 week's test
for LONG:
0.01 = 2946// 0.02 = 2254// 0.03 = 1629// 0.04 = 1152// 0.05 = 838// 0.06 = 599// 0.07 = 438// 0.08 = 302// 0.09 = 216// 0.10 = 151// 0.11 = 105// 0.12 = 74// 0.13 = 44// 0.14 = 30// 0.15 = 23// 0.16 = 18// 0.17 = 14// 0.18 = 6// 0.19 = 5// 0.20 = 4// 0.21 = 2// 0.22 = 1// 0.23 = 1// 0.24 = 0
for SHORT:
0.01 = 3038// 0.02 = 2289// 0.03 = 1650// 0.04 = 1194// 0.05 = 843// 0.06 = 622// 0.07 = 412// 0.08 = 274// 0.09 = 186// 0.10 = 134// 0.11 = 82// 0.12 = 60// 0.13 = 41// 0.14 = 27// 0.15 = 16// 0.16 = 11// 0.17 = 6// 0.18 = 5// 0.19 = 4// 0.20 = 1// 0.21 = 0// 0.22 = 0// 0.23 = 0// 0.24 = 0
So for Long it was a 1 series of 23 open in a row, and Short max row was 20 repeat 1, for row 19 it was repeat 4 times.
So 100% perfect signal to buy Long was 1 on 23 row, and then price move in our direction for 2 pips profit.
In the future this statistics maybe change, that whay is importante to colect data.
We can change the parameters like open every LONG when price move in bad direction on 1 pips and close all when price move in our favorite direction on +1 pips, 2, 3, 4, 5, .... 1000pips
So we have a good statistics with almost 100% probability to enter good position and get profit like 1 or 2, or 10 pips.
To a 1 or 2 pips profit we must use a martingale strategy, but 10 or 30 we can only buy at good signal.
We will have a much more signal to buy LONG/ SHORT position when we play at 1,2 profit then a 10 or 20 pips.
In 1, 2 pips profit we will have a requote and slipage, its not a problem with a 10 or 20 or 50 pips profit.
The history data its not similar to real time price, slipage, requote.
So what we need? We only count open positions.
We need a statistics from every currency pair, stock, index, option etc. on every tick data in real time like close at +1, 2, 3, 4, ...150pips to figureat out when is a great signal to take position. We need a get as much data and send it to a server, so every one can see how much the price move up, or down to long and sell signals.
It will be good when someone develope this - sory i dont know how.
Why data from meany useres - to get a full statistics and knowlege how it works exactly on every close + 1, 2, 3, ...
every broker, every currency pair, stock, every spread, every users, every trading platform that can be programete like mt4, oanda etc.
In the future we will se what the statistics is telling to us, when buy and when close
On mt5 the price is close quicker then MT4, check it yoursel.
EA to show you what i have on the mind:
MT4/MT5 - platform
D - demo for statistics
L/S - Long Short
L=const/ L+1 - lot constans or increse 1 then 2 then 3 4 5 ...
I was test it for a broker admiral markets mt4/mt5
External link www wrzuc.to/OAZ4CXTd.wt
So what do u think about this, and yea i know my english hehe
Dam, im not a rookie, dont know why moderator move this thread here. I have 4 yr experiens on trade future, stocks, bond, option and index, i was testing meny strategy and indicators, yea i know so what? So that when we even have a good filing to a price move down and we have a short position open, the price on tick is moving sometime -5, -10 pips and then in our direction. So when it fall down even 60 pips on the h1 chart, on the tick data price move it like max 23 in a row(not tick/pips, but open position LONG) and then climb up for min 2pip. and then still fal down for a 13in a row and climb up for 2pips. When i start to counting thos repeating, was wandering if we all have the same statistics. Yes I was testing this on a real account and earn some money with +2pips close.
Attached File(s)
MT4_D_L_L+1.mq4
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MT4_D_L_L=const.mq4
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MT4_D_S_L+1.mq4
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MT4_D_S_L=const.mq4
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MT5_D_L_L=const.mq5
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MT5_D_S_L=const.mq5
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424 downloads