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- KV427 replied Jan 14, 2015
I agree with your post. First, I should have mentioned-- the examples I presented are only viable if we assume the probability associated with a profitable outcome is higher than that of a losing outcome(s). This assumption is not a nuanced version ...
- KV427 replied Jan 13, 2015
I have attached some variations of example 3 (I believe they are correct interpretations). They are not necessarily profitable-- just something to consider. The profit/loss is not a fixed ratio; this would depend on the scenario and TP/SL (min of ...
- KV427 replied Jan 13, 2015
You can use a calculator to solve the matrix-- the answers make sense. [n=0] 1(1) = 1 [n=1] -2(1) + 1(2) = 0 [n=2] 1(1) - 2(2) +1(3) = 0 [n=3] -2(1) + 1(2) - 2(3) +1(2) = -4 [n=4] 1(1) - 2(2) +1(3) - 2(2) = - 4 The beginning is just like martingale ...
- KV427 replied Jan 13, 2015
Ok. You are correct. After a bit of reassessment, I realize I was wrong when I said: “I do not think these two properties can exist without including all 4 order types and modifying the TP/SL lines.” The attached image contains a more efficient ...
- KV427 replied Jan 12, 2015
Yes. I understand your critique. The trading setups, as they have been presented in my example, are useless for the reasons you have presented. However, those examples were only intended to give some background and allow me to transition into the ...
- KV427 replied Jan 12, 2015
I have a few questions. Where did you get the equation x^(n+1) and how does it relate to the exponential growth of the martingale hedge matrix? Also, how does differentiation (a concept of calculus), relate to the notion of a linear martingale? I ...
- KV427 replied Jan 12, 2015
Exactly! If we allow for the possibility of a few losses, the number of configurations is greatly increased. I have found a few systems that use this reasoning and may be profitable (statistically, in the long run); they use a combination of all ...
- KV427 replied Jan 11, 2015
Yes. Exactly! I used 1s because it was easy— but yes it could be any number greater than or equal to zero (actually, negative numbers [representing a loss] should also be considered but I will discuss this later). In fact, if we make the final ...
- KV427 replied Jan 10, 2015
Classical and Baroque Music. One of my favourites is Mozart's Mass in C Minor (Köchel-Verzeichnis [KV] 427). video Bach's Mass in B Minor and Harpsichord Concertos are really good as well. video video Listen to this music and your profits ...
- KV427 replied Jan 10, 2015
Ok I don’t blame you. I will try to breakdown the structure of the matrix and explain how each row and column is derived from the hedging setup in the previous post. First, it is important to understand that the matrix in my example is an augmented ...
- KV427 replied Jan 9, 2015
I was going to write an essay explaining exactly how I believe this could be done; but I think it might be best for now if I just present the gist of my idea through a few examples. First, I would like to clarify that I am not trying to create a ...
- Assessing the Profitability of All Possible Trading Strategies
Hello, I would like to develop a trading algorithm that is consistent with the random walk ...
- KV427 replied Jan 8, 2015
A person’s opinion on the efficacy of backtesting will depend largely on their market philosophy. Those who believe the market is predictable will naturally find some value in backtesting since they will assume that certain long-term trends/cycles ...
- KV427 replied Dec 23, 2014
The Canadian two dollar coin is called the Toonie. It's got a polar bear and, of course, the Queen.
- KV427 replied Dec 22, 2014
I think it is important to make a distinction regarding the idea of a Holy Grail. The Transient Holy Grail: a system that is consistently profitable under certain market conditions. This system has foundational assumptions that allow for a temporary ...
- KV427 replied Dec 21, 2014
I agree that a probabilistic approach to trading is important; it is likely the best foundation to a trading system. I just don’t understand your conviction that a permanent Holy Grail exists. We should view a Holy Grail as a transient strategy that ...
- KV427 replied Dec 19, 2014
I really like the example QuantumFund presented; I think it is the primary reason why a Holy Grail is unlikely to last any significant period of time. The problem arrives once everyone begins to use the system; when this happens, trends that once ...
- KV427 replied Dec 16, 2014
I feel it is best to approach trading in a way that seeks simplicity rather than complexity; we should apply a philosophy of reductionism to the entire network of trading and only trade on well established, axiomatic principles. I would even go so ...
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