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- A Tratseuski commented Sep 19, 2011
Its pulling up pretty hard now. All over the place as I said I'm sitting it out. DragonFire, despite the fact that Euro is bleeding right now. Volatility is still there for a bounce backs. Too risky for me with no prevailing news driving the market. ...
- A Tratseuski commented Sep 19, 2011
Yes, a good idea. Volatility is certainly there, and there is too much uncertainty right now. Personally, I am flat on all the trades. Not doing anything today, better be safe than sorry.
- A Tratseuski commented Sep 19, 2011
Very interesting choice of words. But, yeah everything is risk-off or risk-on trades right now. It's good and bad that there is volatility out there. Just don't get caught if price action is changing. Good luck!
- A Tratseuski commented Sep 15, 2011
Simpleguy, The following programs tends to happen all the time, but in different forms such as swaps, etc. It was already in place, however it was 7-day offer from the ECB and the Fed. Essentially, "These will all take the form of repurchase ...
- A Tratseuski commented Sep 12, 2011
Because I think its there. Charting is "in the eye of the beholder".
- A Tratseuski commented Sep 1, 2011
Yes precisely. But sometimes you want to use inflation expectations as well. Generally can be taken from Bloomberg, if you do not have an access you may able to get it from a central bank website. Furthermore, you may get formulas for the pricing of ...
- A Tratseuski commented Sep 1, 2011
I use 3 month and 6 month forward rates on the EUR/USD. THereafter, I adjust for interest rates (can be done with 2-yr bonds, for shorter term use 3 month bond). Adjust for inflationary growth (Fisher Effect), and GDP growth. Hope that helps.
- A Tratseuski commented Aug 31, 2011
Yesterday's commentary......the same as you. Spot on! url
- A Tratseuski commented Aug 31, 2011
I heard that, too. Check where they are now. I would love to know.
- A Tratseuski commented Aug 31, 2011
Daily absolutely volatility of EUR/USD is about 130 pips. During 2008 used to be 160 pips. Terror fading is a carry trade positive. Generally during carry trades volatility tends to be timid, but trends are persisting. Usually times of uncertainty, ...
- A Tratseuski commented Aug 31, 2011
The volatility has been coming down considerably. Summer time is historically a volatile period as less money can move the markets. But, I agree if some new developments happen, volatility could escalate. If status quo persists, range bound should ...
- A Tratseuski commented Aug 31, 2011
Just to make it more fun...where do you see the EUR/USD by 3rd quarter (end of September) and by the end of the year. Collecting consensus.
- A Tratseuski commented Aug 30, 2011
Mima. We shall see what we shall see.
- A Tratseuski commented Aug 5, 2011
It's been rumored that Japan authorities inputed 1 Trillion Yen, which is roughly $12.6 Billion. Source: Reuters
- A Tratseuski commented Aug 4, 2011
Ry, Agreed on Aussie, not so much on NZD. NZD and AUD has a 94% correlation since 2000. So if you think AUD will head lower, so will NZD in theory. AUD/NZD is a completely different animal though, and you might have a case.
- A Tratseuski commented Aug 4, 2011
Dragon, good trading! The only risk running on that right now is US NFP figures tomorrow. Aaron, right on the dot. $12.6 Bill is miniscule comparred to $4 Trillion Daily turnover of the overall market.
- A Tratseuski commented Aug 4, 2011
check out Yen......Risk Aversion matters more than tiny $12.6 Billion intervention.
- A Tratseuski commented Aug 3, 2011
Well risk appetite mentality might cap-off some of the gains in a near term future. However, I am more concerned with the performance of the Swiss economy as the currency is drastically high. Many corporations are already feeling the pinch of worse ...
- A Tratseuski commented Jul 28, 2011
Thanks Oliver.