For the first time in a while, people are talking about a European Central Bank policy decision. The consensus forecast on Wall Street is that the ECB will maintain its benchmark refinancing rate at 0.50%, where it's been since May. Yet with a persistently appreciating euro and the release of data last week revealing that eurozone consumer price inflation plunged to an all-time low of 0.7% year over year in October from 1.1% in September, a few notable firms (BofA Merrill Lynch, UBS, and RBS) predict the ECB will cut the refi rate to 0.25% Thursday, while a few others (Morgan Stanley and Société Générale, to name two ... (full story)