In early May, when the first of the Hilsenrath "taper" leaks hit, we made a prediction that the correct time frame for the actual taper announcement by the Fed would be September. As a reminder back then this was a heretical suggestion with prevailing consensus expecting a 2014 taper or a December 2013 move at the earliest. To wit: Fast forward to today, when the September FOMC is the consensus date for a taper announcement. However, what is still debated is whether or not the taper is actually "priced in" to risk assets: some say this is what the bond swoon of June was for, even though equities have largely ... (full story)