Tight liquidity and funding conditions, uncertainty about China’s macroeconomic outlook and property sector, and geopolitical event risk remain the core macro-credit risk themes heading into 2024, Fitch Ratings says in the latest version of its Risk Headquarters report. Despite recent data signalling continued disinflation in major developed economies, the continued resilience of the US consumer could yet lead to an ‘even-higher-for-even-longer’ interest rate scenario should demand data be stronger than expected and exceed central bank forecasts. A further ratcheting higher of US interest rates would intensify ... (full story)