The dollar traded on the back foot for the better half of this week due to dovish remarks by Fed officials who suggested that the surge in Treasury yields since they last met has done the work for them, implying that another hike before the end of the year may not be needed. However, Thursday’s CPIs revealed that headline inflation held steady at 3.7% y/y, instead of slowing to 3.6% as expected, encouraging market participants to bring rate hike bets back to the table. From 28%, the probability for a final quarter-point rate increment increased to around 40%, while the rate reductions penciled in for next year have ... (full story)