Global interest rates have risen more rapidly than expected in the past two months, and Federal Reserve and ECB policy rates are now likely to peak at a later date and higher level than anticipated in Fitch Ratings’ September 2022 Global Economic Outlook (GEO). Stubbornly high inflation outturns and a hardening of central bank resolve to bring inflation down make a pivot back towards rate cuts in 2023 unlikely. Fitch now expects the Fed Funds rate to rise by 50bp to 4.5% at the December FOMC meeting and then by 25bp at each of the February and March 2023 meetings. We expect rates to remain at 5.0% through the rest of ... (full story)