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Another US Inflation Upside will Motivate the FOMC to Pick up the Pace

From scotiabank.com

The latest inflation reading lit up the bond market and with it the odds that the Fed accelerates the pace and size of rate hikes. A higher than consensus print drove the 2-year Treasury yield about 18 bps higher and the 10-year yield about 9bps higher in a bear flattener move. The dollar took flight and the S&P is down almost 3% on the day so far. Fed funds futures are pricing a few basis points more than a half-point rate hike next week and material odds of a 75bps at the July meeting. The Fed has made it clear it will be considering a 50bps move next week and so given its emphasis upon avoiding surprises and ... (full story)

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  • Category: Fundamental Analysis