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Hey Tashkent,
I think this is important,, its the same in life teachings of the dalai lamar, spirituality, Zen Buddhism etc etc....
The thoughts in our head don't really exist only in our own heads. The thoughts gives us feelings which in turn lead to actions...I think you are trying to find too many reasons and explanations for what the market is doing or why/when you should take action....
I think this is why so many people do well with a demo account and then fail when they move to a real account. Nothing changes only the thoughts in your head....
Just keep it simple, try to follow the general "flow" of the price action and nothing else, "Sell high and buy low".. watch the price it will teach you over time you will get familiar with it like anything practice practice practice...dont be predictive just wait to see where it goes and try to follow....dont worry so much about the reasons why and try to keep the thoughts tame..