from guardian liveblog:
"...The first party (ND or Syriza) will get around 130 seats, pollster Elias Nikolakopoulos says. Needs 20 more for a majority government..."
20 seats at the may election were equal to around 6.5%. According to current polls all but the communists could achieve that.
Syriza in case of a win would find difficult to form a coalition according to this source :
"Bank of America Merrill Lynch lists these potential outcomes from negotiations:
- A victorious New Democracy forms a coalition with Pasok. The key is whether, combined, they’ve won at least 151 seats. If so, they’ll co-govern and no smaller party will have incentive to join and share the political pain of implementing reforms. If not, they’ll need to fold in a smaller party, which may be more likely to assent as the pressure is greater to agree this time around.
- A triumphant Syriza will try to form a coalition, but it will be “hard pressed” to do so. It would have to sign up New Democracy or Pasok in order to govern, but to do so it would have to make some commitment to follow through with the Troika programme, the opposite of its election campaign."
Since the poll did not put ND safely ahead in the exit polls it leaves Greece's commitment to the Troika pretty much in the dark.I'd regard no positive news as negative and we should be set for a continuation of turmoil.
"...The first party (ND or Syriza) will get around 130 seats, pollster Elias Nikolakopoulos says. Needs 20 more for a majority government..."
20 seats at the may election were equal to around 6.5%. According to current polls all but the communists could achieve that.
Syriza in case of a win would find difficult to form a coalition according to this source :
"Bank of America Merrill Lynch lists these potential outcomes from negotiations:
- A victorious New Democracy forms a coalition with Pasok. The key is whether, combined, they’ve won at least 151 seats. If so, they’ll co-govern and no smaller party will have incentive to join and share the political pain of implementing reforms. If not, they’ll need to fold in a smaller party, which may be more likely to assent as the pressure is greater to agree this time around.
- A triumphant Syriza will try to form a coalition, but it will be “hard pressed” to do so. It would have to sign up New Democracy or Pasok in order to govern, but to do so it would have to make some commitment to follow through with the Troika programme, the opposite of its election campaign."
Since the poll did not put ND safely ahead in the exit polls it leaves Greece's commitment to the Troika pretty much in the dark.I'd regard no positive news as negative and we should be set for a continuation of turmoil.