DislikedI majored in Anthropology because I wanted to know what sets us aparts as living beings?
The answer is shared knowledge transmitted differentially. This is the definition of culture.Ignored
Any tools to know what 1 pip is for every currency pair? 1 reply
Price info indicator needed - one pair's price x another pair 5 replies
Multi-pair trading or Few-Pair Trading. [poll] 15 replies
Trading 9 pair every day 143 replies
How nearly EVERY pair gap downward?! 8 replies
DislikedI majored in Anthropology because I wanted to know what sets us aparts as living beings?
The answer is shared knowledge transmitted differentially. This is the definition of culture.Ignored
DislikedThink so, it should be in good profit at that time.
All of that consolidation near 0 was evident on my floating profit equity curve. In theory you should be able to close out all in profit a while before 0 exactly gets hit. Trust me, you will see it. You decide and let us knowIgnored
DislikedHi Dirtybrown, Do you close the trades manually rather then letting the EA do it for you?Ignored
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This chart is created within a statistical program called R, it's free. Someone on FF created a custom DLL to trigger it from metatrader see my sig to get it and instructions. This is measuring mean/standard deviation of the displayed pair
In the above example, on 4/26, I took those positions based on hedge ratios calculated by arbomat.
Thing to remember: Due to a bug, the sign of the ratio is backward. So when 100 is displayed, it would actually be -100 when traded. So you would short...Ignored
Dislikedits good during normal times but not good right now usd is about to go on a hockey stick curve. Ever heard of the trillion dollar bet? My advise would be to find one in a trend and trade it until it breaks. Thats what 7bit and old dog did anyways. Dont add every std dev its a high chance of margin call and stress esp imagine if u made 100 k then lose it all on one basketIgnored
DislikedI've avoided using the trend-o-mat or any trend analysis with the arb-o-mat specifically because 7bit said the trend-o-mat was flawed. I know for a fact drawdown was extremely low on this basket. it is every dollar pair.
For one pair to rise, another has to fall. The beauty of forex.
Given: USD used in 75% of all fx transactions. It only stands to reason a drop in one pair will reflect in another majohr pair which you will capture. Sort of like a casino. They don't care who wins, when the deal is over, all chips get cashed out by someone....Ignored
DislikedMy theory (and probably why the trades have to be open for weeks to be profitable) these trades reflect new money coming into the dollar. Naturally, this will take time.Ignored
Dislikedwell its only flawed in that the moves are respective of the last biggest move so if your basket was ranging for a week then broke out you can easily hit 3 std devs which is high dd if ur adding at each dev. Here you will go opposite for achieving the mean which will give u another 2k but what if it keeps going like 2008? whats ur exit strategy? will you krep adding to try to be? Thats why i asked u if u read about the trillion dollar bet as long as u keep some sort of mm in place with positive expectancy over a good sized num trades u can profit....Ignored
Dislikedwell its only flawed in that the moves are respective of the last biggest move so if your basket was ranging for a week then broke out you can easily hit 3 std devs which is high dd if ur adding at each dev. Here you will go opposite for achieving the mean which will give u another 2k but what if it keeps going like 2008? whats ur exit strategy? will you krep adding to try to be? Thats why i asked u if u read about the trillion dollar bet as long as u keep some sort of mm in place with positive expectancy over a good sized num trades u can profit....Ignored
DislikedI am basing it on the current window. It could possibly go to a lower deviation. But based on what i know is going on now, i don't think 2 standard deviations lower from here is in the cards.
Statistically, the odds are better for price to go back to 0 first. Not sure of an exit strategy yet. Possibly 2 standard deviations.. or 1. Let's find outIgnored
DislikedSo, I am assuming that to use R you have to have a fair bit of computer knowledge? I have very little when it comes to computer language and codes. I got stumped with redirecting the path of the Arbomat and trendomat, so I used the vitrite overlay method that uses transparency with two metatraders open. But regardless of what entry method used, is the overlay EA still sufficient enough in it's standard settings to execute and handle the trade till you decide to exit it?Ignored
Dislikedif rba does a cut and grexit happens what happens to ur basket more imp how can u detect and or react in respect to your strategic positioning of ur basket to avoid losing ur collar?Ignored
DislikedAll evens out. You think the banks will let euro crash? not in their interest, so it won't happen. all hype.Ignored
Dislikeddont assume u dont know their interests. Eu may be gone i mean abolished gone in a few yrs. If crisis was generated maybe its backfired who knows. Why else would eu tank on greece news when greece is only like 2% of the contributer to total gdp? Market will do what its going to do physical demand has to come in order for growth. Cbs cant keep ir propped up foreverIgnored
DislikedWow this is based on 7bit's work. I had tried trend o mat but failed...the drawdown keep increasing. Im not so sure about arb o mat . This strategy is alot about some portfolio management on some other forum. I didnt remember exactly but the strategy depends a lot on adjusting the lots hedge ratio. Decrease or increase the lot as needed ..the keyword might be rebalancing. The ratio can change time to time. But i heard somebody said that there is no guarantee that it will revert to the mean. As i said in a volatile market maybe you need to adjust...Ignored